Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," featuring live violin and dynamic staging, leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 runner-up at 26.5% implied probability after topping Semi-Final 1 results and impressing in rehearsals, where bookmakers pegged them as overall frontrunners. Australia's Delta Goodrem follows tightly at 24% with "Eclipse," leveraging her pop pedigree and emotional ballad appeal that surged post-rehearsals. Israel's Noam Bettan (19.3%) and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" (16%) round out the cluster, driven by powerhouse vocals and cultural hooks but vulnerable to jury-televote splits seen in past contests. With the Vienna grand final on May 16, running order—favoring Finland's position—and live performances will decide momentum in this razor-thin race among strong qualifiers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Australia 24%
Finland 19%
Greece 16%
Israel 13.6%
$13,580 交易量
$13,580 交易量

Australia
24%

Finland
19%

Greece
16%

Israel
19%

France
7%

Denmark
7%

Romania
6%

Ukraine
5%

Germany
4%

Italy
4%

Bulgaria
4%

Poland
4%

Sweden
3%

United Kingdom
3%

Moldova
3%

Austria
3%

Czechia
3%

Serbia
2%

Norway
2%

Albania
2%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Georgia
1%

Latvia
1%

Armenia
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Portugal
1%

Lithuania
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Belgium
1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%
Australia 24%
Finland 19%
Greece 16%
Israel 13.6%
$13,580 交易量
$13,580 交易量

Australia
24%

Finland
19%

Greece
16%

Israel
19%

France
7%

Denmark
7%

Romania
6%

Ukraine
5%

Germany
4%

Italy
4%

Bulgaria
4%

Poland
4%

Sweden
3%

United Kingdom
3%

Moldova
3%

Austria
3%

Czechia
3%

Serbia
2%

Norway
2%

Albania
2%

Switzerland
1%

San Marino
1%

Georgia
1%

Latvia
1%

Armenia
1%

Croatia
1%

Estonia
1%

Azerbaijan
1%

Portugal
1%

Lithuania
1%

Malta
1%

Cyprus
1%

Belgium
1%

Montenegro
<1%

Luxembourg
<1%
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間: May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin," featuring live violin and dynamic staging, leads trader consensus for Eurovision 2026 runner-up at 26.5% implied probability after topping Semi-Final 1 results and impressing in rehearsals, where bookmakers pegged them as overall frontrunners. Australia's Delta Goodrem follows tightly at 24% with "Eclipse," leveraging her pop pedigree and emotional ballad appeal that surged post-rehearsals. Israel's Noam Bettan (19.3%) and Greece's Akylas with "Ferto" (16%) round out the cluster, driven by powerhouse vocals and cultural hooks but vulnerable to jury-televote splits seen in past contests. With the Vienna grand final on May 16, running order—favoring Finland's position—and live performances will decide momentum in this razor-thin race among strong qualifiers.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions