Donald Trump’s pattern of direct communication via Truth Social continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking public insults. As president in May 2026, his posts frequently include personal or professional criticisms of Democrats, former officials, and foreign actors, such as recent statements accusing election interference and deploying terms like “Dumocrats” or “low IQ.” These remarks align with longstanding rhetorical habits that have resolved multiple daily markets toward yes outcomes in recent weeks. Ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and tariff negotiations with Europe provide additional context for potential statements, while scheduled public appearances or policy updates could trigger further activity. Traders weigh historical frequency of such posts against the absence of major upcoming events that might alter the cadence of his online commentary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$491,833 交易量
2026-05-31
May 17
100%
May 18
91%
May 19
92%
May 20
90%
May 21
90%
May 22
94%
May 23
90%
May 24
90%
May 25
89%
May 26
89%
May 27
86%
May 28
90%
May 29
89%
May 30
91%
May 31
89%
$491,833 交易量
May 17
$17,846 交易量
100%
May 18
$2,988 交易量
91%
May 19
$1,672 交易量
92%
May 20
$1,131 交易量
90%
May 21
$479 交易量
90%
May 22
$921 交易量
94%
May 23
$104 交易量
90%
May 24
$462 交易量
90%
May 25
$620 交易量
89%
May 26
$702 交易量
89%
May 27
$1,015 交易量
86%
May 28
$503 交易量
90%
May 29
$383 交易量
89%
May 30
$97 交易量
91%
May 31
$399 交易量
89%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump’s pattern of direct communication via Truth Social continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking public insults. As president in May 2026, his posts frequently include personal or professional criticisms of Democrats, former officials, and foreign actors, such as recent statements accusing election interference and deploying terms like “Dumocrats” or “low IQ.” These remarks align with longstanding rhetorical habits that have resolved multiple daily markets toward yes outcomes in recent weeks. Ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and tariff negotiations with Europe provide additional context for potential statements, while scheduled public appearances or policy updates could trigger further activity. Traders weigh historical frequency of such posts against the absence of major upcoming events that might alter the cadence of his online commentary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
交易量
$491,833結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump’s pattern of direct communication via Truth Social continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking public insults. As president in May 2026, his posts frequently include personal or professional criticisms of Democrats, former officials, and foreign actors, such as recent statements accusing election interference and deploying terms like “Dumocrats” or “low IQ.” These remarks align with longstanding rhetorical habits that have resolved multiple daily markets toward yes outcomes in recent weeks. Ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and tariff negotiations with Europe provide additional context for potential statements, while scheduled public appearances or policy updates could trigger further activity. Traders weigh historical frequency of such posts against the absence of major upcoming events that might alter the cadence of his online commentary.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$491,833結束日期
2026-05-31市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump’s pattern of direct communication via Truth Social continues to shape trader assessments in markets tracking public insults. As president in May 2026, his posts frequently include personal or professional criticisms of Democrats, former officials, and foreign actors, such as recent statements accusing election interference and deploying terms like “Dumocrats” or “low IQ.” These remarks align with longstanding rhetorical habits that have resolved multiple daily markets toward yes outcomes in recent weeks. Ongoing diplomatic tensions with Iran and tariff negotiations with Europe provide additional context for potential statements, while scheduled public appearances or policy updates could trigger further activity. Traders weigh historical frequency of such posts against the absence of major upcoming events that might alter the cadence of his online commentary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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