2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

Name: 2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽
Start: 2026-01-16T17:31:11.998Z
End: 2026-05-14T00:00:00.000Z

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

$602,213 交易量

2026-05-14

丹麥

$14,367 交易量

100%

澳洲

$26,086 交易量

100%

羅馬尼亞

$17,295 交易量

98%

烏克蘭

$12,347 交易量

96%

保加利亞

$88,355 交易量

94%

捷克

$74,419 交易量

86%

阿爾巴尼亞

$49,327 交易量

85%

馬耳他

$25,537 交易量

76%

塞浦路斯

$57,553 交易量

66%

挪威

$36,809 交易量

63%

瑞士

$89,968 交易量

44%

拉脫維亞

$13,914 交易量

38%

盧森堡

$37,689 交易量

30%

亞美尼亞

$43,495 交易量

26%

亞塞拜然

$15,990 交易量

$602,213 交易量

丹麥

$14,367 交易量

100%

澳洲

$26,086 交易量

100%

羅馬尼亞

$17,295 交易量

98%

烏克蘭

$12,347 交易量

96%

保加利亞

$88,355 交易量

94%

捷克

$74,419 交易量

86%

阿爾巴尼亞

$49,327 交易量

85%

馬耳他

$25,537 交易量

76%

塞浦路斯

$57,553 交易量

66%

挪威

$36,809 交易量

63%

瑞士

$89,968 交易量

44%

拉脫維亞

$13,914 交易量

38%

盧森堡

$37,689 交易量

30%

亞美尼亞

$43,495 交易量

26%

亞塞拜然

$15,990 交易量

This market will resolve to the countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision Second Semi-Final, scheduled for May 14, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 Second Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the Second Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "丹麥" at 100%, followed by "澳洲" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" has generated $602.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" is "丹麥" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "澳洲" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $602.2K traded on “2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 100¢ for "丹麥" in the "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 100% chance that "丹麥" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 100¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 0¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" market's scheduled end date has passed, but the market has not yet been officially resolved. The end date indicates when the underlying event is expected to occur or become knowable. It is not the moment trading stops. The market remains open for trading until the outcome is formally resolved through the resolution process. You can still buy, sell, or close your position while the market is pending resolution. Check the resolution status tracker and "Rules" section on this page for updates on the resolution timeline.

The "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

2026年歐洲歌唱大賽：第二次準決賽

規則

盤口背景

規則

盤口背景

評論

頂級持倉者

持倉

動態

Frequently Asked Questions

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What does a price of 100¢ for "丹麥" mean?

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