Bulgaria’s commanding 100% market-implied probability stems from its decisive victory in the 70th Eurovision Song Contest grand final held in Vienna on May 16–17. Dara’s upbeat party anthem “Bangaranga” swept both the professional jury and televote tallies with 516 points, delivering the nation its first-ever win through infectious choreography, strong vocal delivery, and broad appeal that resonated with voters across Europe. Historical patterns show that dominant jury-public alignment like this rarely faces late reversals once official results are confirmed. While an administrative recount or eligibility challenge remains theoretically possible before final ratification, such scenarios have not materialized in prior contests and would require unprecedented evidence to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
2026年歐洲歌唱大賽冠軍
阿爾巴尼亞 <1%
奧地利 <1%
比利時 <1%
克羅地亞 <1%
$193,902,263 交易量
$193,902,263 交易量
阿爾巴尼亞
<1%
奧地利
<1%
比利時
<1%
克羅地亞
<1%
捷克
<1%
法國
<1%
德國
<1%
以色列
<1%
摩爾多瓦
<1%
挪威
<1%
瑞典
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
澳洲
<1%
賽普勒斯
<1%
丹麥
<1%
芬蘭
<1%
希臘
<1%
義大利
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
馬耳他
<1%
波蘭
<1%
羅馬尼亞
<1%
塞爾維亞
<1%
英國
<1%
阿爾巴尼亞 <1%
奧地利 <1%
比利時 <1%
克羅地亞 <1%
$193,902,263 交易量
$193,902,263 交易量
阿爾巴尼亞
<1%
奧地利
<1%
比利時
<1%
克羅地亞
<1%
捷克
<1%
法國
<1%
德國
<1%
以色列
<1%
摩爾多瓦
<1%
挪威
<1%
瑞典
<1%
烏克蘭
<1%
澳洲
<1%
賽普勒斯
<1%
丹麥
<1%
芬蘭
<1%
希臘
<1%
義大利
<1%
立陶宛
<1%
馬耳他
<1%
波蘭
<1%
羅馬尼亞
<1%
塞爾維亞
<1%
英國
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市場開放時間： Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Bulgaria’s commanding 100% market-implied probability stems from its decisive victory in the 70th Eurovision Song Contest grand final held in Vienna on May 16–17. Dara’s upbeat party anthem “Bangaranga” swept both the professional jury and televote tallies with 516 points, delivering the nation its first-ever win through infectious choreography, strong vocal delivery, and broad appeal that resonated with voters across Europe. Historical patterns show that dominant jury-public alignment like this rarely faces late reversals once official results are confirmed. While an administrative recount or eligibility challenge remains theoretically possible before final ratification, such scenarios have not materialized in prior contests and would require unprecedented evidence to shift the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions