Mercedes leads the implied probability for constructor pole at the Canadian Grand Prix thanks to its dominant early-season qualifying pace and 180-point constructors lead, powered by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s W16 chassis and power unit advantage has held through the opening rounds despite 2026 regulation shifts toward greater electrical deployment and active aero. McLaren has narrowed the gap most effectively after major Miami upgrades that delivered sprint pole and a one-two finish, with further straight-line and braking revisions aimed at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve’s low-downforce layout. Red Bull and Ferrari trail after their own update packages yielded mixed single-lap gains, while mid-field teams remain distant. Recent form and development momentum continue to shape trader consensus around these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Mercedes 43%
Mclaren Mastercard 34%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
43%
Mclaren Mastercard
34%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
Mercedes 43%
Mclaren Mastercard 34%
Red Bull 20%
Ferrari 18%
Mercedes
43%
Mclaren Mastercard
34%
Red Bull
20%
Ferrari
18%
Williams
4%
Cadillac
3%
Alpine
2%
Aston Martin
2%
Tgr Haas
1%
Racing Bulls
1%
Audi Revolut
<1%
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市場開放時間: Apr 25, 2026, 7:31 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the constructor team that is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a constructor team sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that constructor team.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Mercedes leads the implied probability for constructor pole at the Canadian Grand Prix thanks to its dominant early-season qualifying pace and 180-point constructors lead, powered by Kimi Antonelli and George Russell. The team’s W16 chassis and power unit advantage has held through the opening rounds despite 2026 regulation shifts toward greater electrical deployment and active aero. McLaren has narrowed the gap most effectively after major Miami upgrades that delivered sprint pole and a one-two finish, with further straight-line and braking revisions aimed at Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve’s low-downforce layout. Red Bull and Ferrari trail after their own update packages yielded mixed single-lap gains, while mid-field teams remain distant. Recent form and development momentum continue to shape trader consensus around these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions