The Monaco Grand Prix's narrow street circuit and heavy emphasis on qualifying pace have kept the driver winner market tightly bunched, with Kimi Antonelli's 32.0% implied probability reflecting his current championship lead and Mercedes' strong early-season form after multiple victories. George Russell sits close behind at 29.5% as Antonelli's teammate, while Charles Leclerc's 25.5% edge stems from his home advantage and prior success on the track. Max Verstappen at 24.5% adds pressure through his consistent racecraft, though the field faces challenges from limited overtaking opportunities and recent concerns over starts. This setup underscores how recent momentum and circuit-specific factors shape trader consensus without guaranteeing outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Kimi Antonelli 48%
George Russell 30%
Charles Leclerc 26%
Max Verstappen 25%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
George Russell
30%
Charles Leclerc
26%
Max Verstappen
25%
Lando Norris
19%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Isack Hadjar
5%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
Kimi Antonelli 48%
George Russell 30%
Charles Leclerc 26%
Max Verstappen 25%
Kimi Antonelli
32%
George Russell
30%
Charles Leclerc
26%
Max Verstappen
25%
Lando Norris
19%
Lewis Hamilton
18%
Oscar Piastri
18%
Isack Hadjar
5%
Pierre Gasly
2%
Fernando Alonso
1%
Oliver Bearman
1%
Lance Stroll
1%
Alexander Albon
1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Sergio Perez
1%
Esteban Ocon
1%
Franco Colapinto
1%
Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Valtteri Bottas
1%
Liam Lawson
1%
Arvid Lindblad
1%
If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
市場開放時間: May 9, 2026, 8:38 AM ET
If the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Jun 14, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments.
Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
The Monaco Grand Prix's narrow street circuit and heavy emphasis on qualifying pace have kept the driver winner market tightly bunched, with Kimi Antonelli's 32.0% implied probability reflecting his current championship lead and Mercedes' strong early-season form after multiple victories. George Russell sits close behind at 29.5% as Antonelli's teammate, while Charles Leclerc's 25.5% edge stems from his home advantage and prior success on the track. Max Verstappen at 24.5% adds pressure through his consistent racecraft, though the field faces challenges from limited overtaking opportunities and recent concerns over starts. This setup underscores how recent momentum and circuit-specific factors shape trader consensus without guaranteeing outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions