Jasmine Clark holds a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Georgia’s 13th Congressional District, an open seat following the April death of longtime incumbent David Scott. Her position stems from strong name recognition as a sitting state representative, a recent internal poll showing her at 57 percent among likely primary voters, and endorsements from progressive groups active in the metro Atlanta area. The remaining candidates, including state Sen. Emanuel Jones and educator Everton Blair Jr., split the balance of support in a crowded field where no challenger has mounted a sustained surge in early voting or fundraising. Traders price a Clark victory as the clear consensus outcome given the short timeline to election day, though a fragmented vote that forces a June runoff remains the main scenario that could still alter the result.