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選舉·House Primary

GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·House Primary

GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者

James Kingston 96.4%

Patrick Farrell 2.6%

Brian Montgomery 1.8%

Kandiss Taylor <1%

Polymarket

$11,837 交易量

James Kingston 96.4%

Patrick Farrell 2.6%

Brian Montgomery 1.8%

Kandiss Taylor <1%

Polymarket

$11,837 交易量

James Kingston

$5,621 交易量

96%

Patrick Farrell

$387 交易量

3%

Brian Montgomery

$498 交易量

2%

Kandiss Taylor

$4,349 交易量

1%

Krista Penn

$505 交易量

<1%

Eugene Yu

$478 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Buddy Carter’s Senate bid, with traders assigning him over 97 percent implied probability of nomination on May 19. His position stems from President Trump’s endorsement, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million, and support from House Republican leaders including Jim Jordan and Tom Emmer. These factors have consolidated support among party activists and voters in the coastal district ahead of the primary. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by challengers such as Patrick Farrell or Brian Montgomery through superior debate performances or turnout mobilization in the final days, though current indicators show limited momentum for such an outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,837
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.James Kingston holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat after incumbent Buddy Carter’s Senate bid, with traders assigning him over 97 percent implied probability of nomination on May 19. His position stems from President Trump’s endorsement, a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1.8 million, and support from House Republican leaders including Jim Jordan and Tom Emmer. These factors have consolidated support among party activists and voters in the coastal district ahead of the primary. A realistic shift would require an unexpected late surge by challengers such as Patrick Farrell or Brian Montgomery through superior debate performances or turnout mobilization in the final days, though current indicators show limited momentum for such an outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,837
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 20, 2026, 2:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Kingston" at 96%, followed by "Patrick Farrell" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $11.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "James Kingston" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Patrick Farrell" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GA-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.