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選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者
選舉·賓夕法尼亞州小學

PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者

賈內爾·斯特爾森 98.0%

Michael Robinson 1.9%

Justin Douglas <1%

傑森·卡斯 <1%

Polymarket

$21,984 交易量

賈內爾·斯特爾森 98.0%

Michael Robinson 1.9%

Justin Douglas <1%

傑森·卡斯 <1%

Polymarket

$21,984 交易量

賈內爾·斯特爾森

$8,278 交易量

98%

Michael Robinson

$1,465 交易量

2%

Justin Douglas

$1,308 交易量

1%

傑森·卡斯

$9,271 交易量

<1%

威廉·利利奇

$1,661 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson holds a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District because of her established name recognition from a near-miss 2024 general-election challenge against Republican incumbent Scott Perry, combined with multi-million-dollar fundraising totals and broad party endorsements that position her as the candidate best equipped to compete in the general. Other contenders, including Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, trail significantly amid limited visibility and resources. Stelson’s strategy of prioritizing general-election messaging over primary debates has further consolidated support among Democratic voters focused on flipping the seat. While an unexpected turnout surge or last-minute endorsement shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects Stelson’s structural advantages heading into election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,984
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson holds a commanding lead in the May 19 Democratic primary for Pennsylvania’s 10th Congressional District because of her established name recognition from a near-miss 2024 general-election challenge against Republican incumbent Scott Perry, combined with multi-million-dollar fundraising totals and broad party endorsements that position her as the candidate best equipped to compete in the general. Other contenders, including Dauphin County Commissioner Justin Douglas, trail significantly amid limited visibility and resources. Stelson’s strategy of prioritizing general-election messaging over primary debates has further consolidated support among Democratic voters focused on flipping the seat. While an unexpected turnout surge or last-minute endorsement shift could theoretically narrow the gap, the current trader consensus reflects Stelson’s structural advantages heading into election day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$21,984
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "賈內爾·斯特爾森" at 98%, followed by "Michael Robinson" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $22K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "賈內爾·斯特爾森" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Michael Robinson" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PA-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.