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政治·主要

KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者

Ralph Alvarado 97.8%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,101 交易量

Ralph Alvarado 97.8%

Adam Perez Arquette <1%

Greg Plucinski <1%

Gavin Solomon <1%

Polymarket

$25,101 交易量

Ralph Alvarado

$11,202 交易量

98%

Adam Perez Arquette

$1,987 交易量

1%

Greg Plucinski

$1,055 交易量

1%

Gavin Solomon

$1,936 交易量

<1%

Ryan Dotson

$8,921 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, set for May 19, as reflected in current trader consensus. His position stems from a Trump endorsement, strong fundraising totals exceeding $800,000 with substantial cash reserves, and recent consolidation after Adam Perez Arquette withdrew and endorsed him. Alvarado’s prior service as a Kentucky state senator and Tennessee health commissioner, combined with backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, has further solidified support among primary voters. Other candidates including Ryan Dotson, Greg Plucinski, and Gavin Solomon trail significantly. Late developments such as unexpected health issues, new endorsements, or last-minute campaign shifts remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,101
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ralph Alvarado holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Kentucky’s 6th Congressional District, set for May 19, as reflected in current trader consensus. His position stems from a Trump endorsement, strong fundraising totals exceeding $800,000 with substantial cash reserves, and recent consolidation after Adam Perez Arquette withdrew and endorsed him. Alvarado’s prior service as a Kentucky state senator and Tennessee health commissioner, combined with backing from the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, has further solidified support among primary voters. Other candidates including Ryan Dotson, Greg Plucinski, and Gavin Solomon trail significantly. Late developments such as unexpected health issues, new endorsements, or last-minute campaign shifts remain the primary variables that could still influence the outcome before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$25,101
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:16 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the KY-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ralph Alvarado" at 98%, followed by "Adam Perez Arquette" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Ralph Alvarado" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Adam Perez Arquette" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "KY-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.