Rockstar Games has twice delayed Grand Theft Auto VI from its original 2025 window, first to May 2026 and then to the current November 19, 2026 console date, citing the need for extra polish on the ambitious Vice City open-world title. Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed that November target in earnings updates through mid-2026, with no fresh signals of slippage as the studio enters final certification. Traders see the 89% implied probability against another postponement as reflecting Rockstar’s track record of hitting adjusted dates once set, combined with the absence of recent development setbacks or earnings warnings that would typically precede a shift. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer marketing or financial commentary that could test momentum heading into the holiday window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$606,047 交易量
$606,047 交易量
2026-11-19
是
$606,047 交易量
$606,047 交易量
2026-11-19
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rockstar Games has twice delayed Grand Theft Auto VI from its original 2025 window, first to May 2026 and then to the current November 19, 2026 console date, citing the need for extra polish on the ambitious Vice City open-world title. Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed that November target in earnings updates through mid-2026, with no fresh signals of slippage as the studio enters final certification. Traders see the 89% implied probability against another postponement as reflecting Rockstar’s track record of hitting adjusted dates once set, combined with the absence of recent development setbacks or earnings warnings that would typically precede a shift. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer marketing or financial commentary that could test momentum heading into the holiday window.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ET
交易量
$606,047結束日期
2026-11-19市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rockstar Games has twice delayed Grand Theft Auto VI from its original 2025 window, first to May 2026 and then to the current November 19, 2026 console date, citing the need for extra polish on the ambitious Vice City open-world title. Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed that November target in earnings updates through mid-2026, with no fresh signals of slippage as the studio enters final certification. Traders see the 89% implied probability against another postponement as reflecting Rockstar’s track record of hitting adjusted dates once set, combined with the absence of recent development setbacks or earnings warnings that would typically precede a shift. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer marketing or financial commentary that could test momentum heading into the holiday window.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$606,047結束日期
2026-11-19市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 3:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rockstar Games has twice delayed Grand Theft Auto VI from its original 2025 window, first to May 2026 and then to the current November 19, 2026 console date, citing the need for extra polish on the ambitious Vice City open-world title. Take-Two Interactive has repeatedly reaffirmed that November target in earnings updates through mid-2026, with no fresh signals of slippage as the studio enters final certification. Traders see the 89% implied probability against another postponement as reflecting Rockstar’s track record of hitting adjusted dates once set, combined with the absence of recent development setbacks or earnings warnings that would typically precede a shift. The next major catalyst remains any late-summer marketing or financial commentary that could test momentum heading into the holiday window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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