**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service place Atlanta’s expected high for August 30 near 90°F under partly sunny skies with light easterly flow and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance.** This setup supports the market’s strong 58% implied probability for a 90-91°F peak, as light winds and limited cloud cover allow temperatures to reach but not greatly exceed that level. Recent observations show today’s high around 87–89°F, providing a stable baseline for modest diurnal warming tomorrow without significant advection or moisture changes. Secondary outcomes at 88–89°F (23%) and 92–93°F (11%) capture residual model spread and the possibility that afternoon convection or slightly stronger mixing could nudge the daily maximum a degree or two either side of 90°F. Lower-probability bins reflect the low likelihood of substantial deviations given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of major pattern shifts in the latest model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus most heavily as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月30日亞特蘭大氣溫最高?
90-91°F 58%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
58%
92-93°F
12%
華氏94度或更高
2%
90-91°F 58%
88-89°F 22%
92-93°F 12%
86-87°F 5%
華氏75度或以下
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
22%
90-91°F
58%
92-93°F
12%
華氏94度或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 28, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=katl
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official guidance from the National Weather Service place Atlanta’s expected high for August 30 near 90°F under partly sunny skies with light easterly flow and only a slight afternoon thunderstorm chance.** This setup supports the market’s strong 58% implied probability for a 90-91°F peak, as light winds and limited cloud cover allow temperatures to reach but not greatly exceed that level. Recent observations show today’s high around 87–89°F, providing a stable baseline for modest diurnal warming tomorrow without significant advection or moisture changes. Secondary outcomes at 88–89°F (23%) and 92–93°F (11%) capture residual model spread and the possibility that afternoon convection or slightly stronger mixing could nudge the daily maximum a degree or two either side of 90°F. Lower-probability bins reflect the low likelihood of substantial deviations given current atmospheric conditions and the absence of major pattern shifts in the latest model runs. Traders appear to be weighting the NWS point forecast and ensemble consensus most heavily as resolution approaches.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions