Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration guidance, point to a maximum of 20–21°C in Chengdu on October 5 amid widespread cloud cover, light rain or showers, and light winds that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan Basin. This autumnal pattern, with a passing frontal boundary, suppresses temperatures below the monthly average high near 22°C. Trader consensus heavily favors 20°C, reflecting the narrow range of guidance and low likelihood of significant warming or cooling deviations before resolution. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final confirmation ahead of the daily peak.