Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Current conditions feature overcast skies and scattered light rain through September 18–19, with minimal clearing expected by Sunday, suppressing the typical diurnal rise seen in clearer autumn periods. This setup creates tight differentiation among market-implied outcomes around the median, as small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average near 26°C, providing context for the clustered probabilities, while traders monitor updated model outputs ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日成都最高溫度？
9月20日成都最高溫度？
26°C 26%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
4%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
24%
28°C
19%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C或以上
<1%
26°C 26%
27°C 24%
25°C 22%
28°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
22°C或以下
$76 交易量
4%
23°C
$20 交易量
18%
24°C
$5 交易量
18%
25°C
$1 交易量
22%
26°C
$10 交易量
26%
27°C
$0 交易量
24%
28°C
$0 交易量
19%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$0 交易量
13%
31°C
$0 交易量
4%
32°C或以上
$0 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Current conditions feature overcast skies and scattered light rain through September 18–19, with minimal clearing expected by Sunday, suppressing the typical diurnal rise seen in clearer autumn periods. This setup creates tight differentiation among market-implied outcomes around the median, as small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average near 26°C, providing context for the clustered probabilities, while traders monitor updated model outputs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$112結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Current conditions feature overcast skies and scattered light rain through September 18–19, with minimal clearing expected by Sunday, suppressing the typical diurnal rise seen in clearer autumn periods. This setup creates tight differentiation among market-implied outcomes around the median, as small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average near 26°C, providing context for the clustered probabilities, while traders monitor updated model outputs ahead of the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$112結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecast model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and international sources indicate a highest temperature in Chengdu on September 20 most likely in the 25–27°C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and high humidity that limit daytime heating in the Sichuan basin. Current conditions feature overcast skies and scattered light rain through September 18–19, with minimal clearing expected by Sunday, suppressing the typical diurnal rise seen in clearer autumn periods. This setup creates tight differentiation among market-implied outcomes around the median, as small variations in cloud thickness or wind speed could shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September highs average near 26°C, providing context for the clustered probabilities, while traders monitor updated model outputs ahead of the 48-hour window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions