Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall over Chongqing on September 20, 2026, which is expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures primarily in the 24–28°C range. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–27°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed highs amid autumnal moisture advection and reduced solar insolation. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 28–29°C, but current conditions echo patterns where frontal activity or lingering monsoon influences moderate peaks by several degrees. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 29°C, while heavier or prolonged rain could hold readings at or below 25°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日重慶氣溫最高?
29°C 29%
27°C 25%
24°C 24%
26°C 20%
23°C或以下
17%
24°C
34%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
29%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
29°C 29%
27°C 25%
24°C 24%
26°C 20%
23°C或以下
17%
24°C
34%
25°C
17%
26°C
20%
27°C
25%
28°C
10%
29°C
29%
30°C
15%
31°C
2%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate persistent cloud cover and scattered to moderate rainfall over Chongqing on September 20, 2026, which is expected to limit daytime heating and cap maximum temperatures primarily in the 24–28°C range. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied odds clustered around 24–27°C, reflecting trader assessment of suppressed highs amid autumnal moisture advection and reduced solar insolation. Historical September climatology shows average daily maxima near 28–29°C, but current conditions echo patterns where frontal activity or lingering monsoon influences moderate peaks by several degrees. Key variables include the exact timing and intensity of precipitation, with any clearing potentially allowing brief warming toward 29°C, while heavier or prolonged rain could hold readings at or below 25°C. Updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions