**Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies places Guangzhou's August 6 peak temperature in the narrow 34–37 °C range, with ensemble spreads driving the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C market-implied odds.** Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and light steering winds—favor afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover and scattered showers can cap the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows only modest day-to-day shifts, with no strong synoptic feature (e.g., frontal passage or typhoon influence) expected to push extremes higher or lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome based on small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention that determine whether the thermometer reaches or exceeds 37 °C before any late-day cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日廣州最高溫度？
8月6日廣州最高溫度？
37°C 39%
36°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 9%
最新
$20,868 交易量
最新
$20,868 交易量
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
12%
36°C
37%
37°C
39%
38°C
9%
39°C或以上
2%
37°C 39%
36°C 37%
35°C 12%
38°C 9%
最新
$20,868 交易量
最新
$20,868 交易量
2026-08-06
29°C或以下
$395 交易量
<1%
30°C
$374 交易量
<1%
31°C
$343 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,035 交易量
<1%
33°C
$306 交易量
2%
34°C
$628 交易量
3%
35°C
$1,048 交易量
12%
36°C
$10,200 交易量
37%
37°C
$2,970 交易量
39%
38°C
$2,106 交易量
9%
39°C或以上
$1,495 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies places Guangzhou's August 6 peak temperature in the narrow 34–37 °C range, with ensemble spreads driving the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C market-implied odds.** Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and light steering winds—favor afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover and scattered showers can cap the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows only modest day-to-day shifts, with no strong synoptic feature (e.g., frontal passage or typhoon influence) expected to push extremes higher or lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome based on small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention that determine whether the thermometer reaches or exceeds 37 °C before any late-day cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$20,868結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies places Guangzhou's August 6 peak temperature in the narrow 34–37 °C range, with ensemble spreads driving the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C market-implied odds.** Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and light steering winds—favor afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover and scattered showers can cap the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows only modest day-to-day shifts, with no strong synoptic feature (e.g., frontal passage or typhoon influence) expected to push extremes higher or lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome based on small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention that determine whether the thermometer reaches or exceeds 37 °C before any late-day cooling.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,868結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET**Current forecast consensus from regional models and agencies places Guangzhou's August 6 peak temperature in the narrow 34–37 °C range, with ensemble spreads driving the near-even split between 36 °C and 37 °C market-implied odds.** Subtropical summer conditions—high solar insolation, elevated humidity, and light steering winds—favor afternoon heating, yet variable cloud cover and scattered showers can cap the daily maximum by 1–2 °C through reduced shortwave radiation and evaporative cooling. Official guidance from sources such as the China Meteorological Administration and global models shows only modest day-to-day shifts, with no strong synoptic feature (e.g., frontal passage or typhoon influence) expected to push extremes higher or lower. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome based on small differences in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat retention that determine whether the thermometer reaches or exceeds 37 °C before any late-day cooling.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions