Official Met Office forecasts for London on September 22 project a maximum of 24°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light winds, with afternoon peaks around that level and minimal rain risk. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 43% implied probability, reflecting consensus on stable anticyclonic conditions that favor modest warming above the September average high near 20°C. Slightly warmer model runs or localized urban heat effects support the 25°C share at 25%, while cooler 23°C scenarios account for any increased cloud cover. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance heavily, as small shifts in steering or insolation could still adjust the final recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
9月22日倫敦的最高溫度？
24°C 43%
25°C 25%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
最新
$14,710 交易量
最新
$14,710 交易量
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
7%
23°C
24%
24°C
43%
25°C
25%
26°C或以上
4%
24°C 43%
25°C 25%
23°C 24%
22°C 7%
最新
$14,710 交易量
最新
$14,710 交易量
2026-09-22
16°C或以下
$86 交易量
<1%
17°C
$125 交易量
<1%
18°C
$125 交易量
<1%
19°C
$83 交易量
<1%
20°C
$198 交易量
<1%
21°C
$355 交易量
<1%
22°C
$1,557 交易量
7%
23°C
$3,138 交易量
24%
24°C
$1,732 交易量
43%
25°C
$5,434 交易量
25%
26°C或以上
$1,876 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on September 22 project a maximum of 24°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light winds, with afternoon peaks around that level and minimal rain risk. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 43% implied probability, reflecting consensus on stable anticyclonic conditions that favor modest warming above the September average high near 20°C. Slightly warmer model runs or localized urban heat effects support the 25°C share at 25%, while cooler 23°C scenarios account for any increased cloud cover. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance heavily, as small shifts in steering or insolation could still adjust the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$14,710結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Met Office forecasts for London on September 22 project a maximum of 24°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light winds, with afternoon peaks around that level and minimal rain risk. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 43% implied probability, reflecting consensus on stable anticyclonic conditions that favor modest warming above the September average high near 20°C. Slightly warmer model runs or localized urban heat effects support the 25°C share at 25%, while cooler 23°C scenarios account for any increased cloud cover. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance heavily, as small shifts in steering or insolation could still adjust the final recorded high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,710結束日期
2026-09-22市場開放時間
Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ETOfficial Met Office forecasts for London on September 22 project a maximum of 24°C under building high pressure, sunny intervals, and light winds, with afternoon peaks around that level and minimal rain risk. This aligns closely with the market’s leading 24°C outcome at 43% implied probability, reflecting consensus on stable anticyclonic conditions that favor modest warming above the September average high near 20°C. Slightly warmer model runs or localized urban heat effects support the 25°C share at 25%, while cooler 23°C scenarios account for any increased cloud cover. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest observational trends and ensemble guidance heavily, as small shifts in steering or insolation could still adjust the final recorded high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions