Forecast models from sources including AEMET-aligned guidance show Madrid reaching a daily high near 30–31°C on August 29 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the long-term average high of 30.5°C. A cooler air mass that produced the city’s coldest August day of the 21st century on the 28th has given way to rapid warming under high pressure, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Current observations in the mid-20s°C with afternoon peaks projected to 30.7°C reinforce this narrow range; any slight model shift in timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the result between these two values before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月29日馬德裏氣溫最高？
8月29日馬德裏氣溫最高？
30°C 55%
31°C 51%
32°C 1.4%
33°C <1%
$30,870 交易量
$30,870 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
44%
31°C
57%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
31°C 51%
32°C 1.4%
33°C <1%
$30,870 交易量
$30,870 交易量
2026-08-29
25°C or below
$638 交易量
<1%
26°C
$321 交易量
<1%
27°C
$727 交易量
<1%
28°C
$2,473 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,457 交易量
<1%
30°C
$7,490 交易量
44%
31°C
$7,228 交易量
57%
32°C
$3,702 交易量
1%
33°C
$2,861 交易量
<1%
34°C
$937 交易量
<1%
35°C or higher
$1,036 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AEMET-aligned guidance show Madrid reaching a daily high near 30–31°C on August 29 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the long-term average high of 30.5°C. A cooler air mass that produced the city’s coldest August day of the 21st century on the 28th has given way to rapid warming under high pressure, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Current observations in the mid-20s°C with afternoon peaks projected to 30.7°C reinforce this narrow range; any slight model shift in timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the result between these two values before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$30,870結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including AEMET-aligned guidance show Madrid reaching a daily high near 30–31°C on August 29 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the long-term average high of 30.5°C. A cooler air mass that produced the city’s coldest August day of the 21st century on the 28th has given way to rapid warming under high pressure, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Current observations in the mid-20s°C with afternoon peaks projected to 30.7°C reinforce this narrow range; any slight model shift in timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the result between these two values before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,870結束日期
2026-08-29市場開放時間
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETForecast models from sources including AEMET-aligned guidance show Madrid reaching a daily high near 30–31°C on August 29 under clear skies, light southwesterly winds, and negligible precipitation, consistent with the long-term average high of 30.5°C. A cooler air mass that produced the city’s coldest August day of the 21st century on the 28th has given way to rapid warming under high pressure, positioning 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market-implied outcomes. Current observations in the mid-20s°C with afternoon peaks projected to 30.7°C reinforce this narrow range; any slight model shift in timing or boundary-layer mixing could tip the result between these two values before official verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions