Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on June 30 points to a daily maximum near 22–24°C, reflecting the seasonal transition into the rainy period with increased afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and typical June climatology keep baselines around 24–25°C, yet current model consensus shows modest cooling from enhanced moisture and reduced insolation compared with earlier in the month. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can easily move the observed high by 1–2°C, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and short-range ensembles remain the key data releases that will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 30?
24°C 38%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
24%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 38%
23°C 24%
25°C 21%
22°C 13%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
13%
23°C
24%
24°C
38%
25°C
21%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance for Mexico City on June 30 points to a daily maximum near 22–24°C, reflecting the seasonal transition into the rainy period with increased afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers that cap daytime heating. High-altitude location (roughly 2,240 m) and typical June climatology keep baselines around 24–25°C, yet current model consensus shows modest cooling from enhanced moisture and reduced insolation compared with earlier in the month. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 23–25°C outcomes because small shifts in precipitation timing or boundary-layer moisture can easily move the observed high by 1–2°C, while official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and short-range ensembles remain the key data releases that will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions