Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others point to a mostly sunny day with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, supporting highs in the upper 80s for Central Park on June 30, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 86-89°F. Primary drivers include a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, combined with southerly flow advecting milder air masses, typical for late June when solar insolation peaks. Minor model differences in timing of any thin cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact dew points explain the split between 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in these variables can alter peak readings by a degree or two amid urban heat effects. Traders weigh ensemble consensus and recent above-average trends against climatological baselines near 80°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on June 30?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 30?
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 12%
最新
$11,099 交易量
最新
$11,099 交易量
2026-06-30
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
17%
86-87°F
30%
88-89°F
40%
90-91°F
12%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 40%
86-87°F 30%
84-85°F 17%
90-91°F 12%
最新
$11,099 交易量
最新
$11,099 交易量
2026-06-30
79°F or below
$1,589 交易量
<1%
80-81°F
$685 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$424 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$1,502 交易量
17%
86-87°F
$1,118 交易量
30%
88-89°F
$1,772 交易量
40%
90-91°F
$662 交易量
12%
92-93°F
$739 交易量
4%
94-95°F
$725 交易量
1%
96-97°F
$1,172 交易量
<1%
98°F or higher
$710 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others point to a mostly sunny day with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, supporting highs in the upper 80s for Central Park on June 30, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 86-89°F. Primary drivers include a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, combined with southerly flow advecting milder air masses, typical for late June when solar insolation peaks. Minor model differences in timing of any thin cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact dew points explain the split between 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in these variables can alter peak readings by a degree or two amid urban heat effects. Traders weigh ensemble consensus and recent above-average trends against climatological baselines near 80°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ET
交易量
$11,099結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others point to a mostly sunny day with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, supporting highs in the upper 80s for Central Park on June 30, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 86-89°F. Primary drivers include a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, combined with southerly flow advecting milder air masses, typical for late June when solar insolation peaks. Minor model differences in timing of any thin cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact dew points explain the split between 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in these variables can alter peak readings by a degree or two amid urban heat effects. Traders weigh ensemble consensus and recent above-average trends against climatological baselines near 80°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$11,099結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 11:02 PM ETRecent forecasts from sources like WeatherBug and others point to a mostly sunny day with southwest winds of 10-15 mph, supporting highs in the upper 80s for Central Park on June 30, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 86-89°F. Primary drivers include a ridge of high pressure promoting subsidence and warming, combined with southerly flow advecting milder air masses, typical for late June when solar insolation peaks. Minor model differences in timing of any thin cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, or exact dew points explain the split between 86-87°F and 88-89°F bins, as small shifts in these variables can alter peak readings by a degree or two amid urban heat effects. Traders weigh ensemble consensus and recent above-average trends against climatological baselines near 80°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions