Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–71°F for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph behind Sunday’s frontal passage and associated rain. This onshore flow off cooler coastal waters, combined with increasing cloud cover and only limited afternoon clearing, caps daytime heating while keeping values close to seasonal normals. Slight variations in the timing of any partial sun or lingering moisture create the narrow spread between the leading 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside this range reflecting the tight clustering of guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於紐約市9月21日的最高溫度？
紐約市9月21日的最高溫度？
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
華氏59度或以下
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
17%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
9%
76-77°F
2%
華氏78度或以上
1%
68-69°F 39%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 18%
66-67°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-09-21
華氏59度或以下
$0 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$0 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$0 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$0 交易量
17%
68-69°F
$1,020 交易量
39%
70-71°F
$195 交易量
39%
72-73°F
$119 交易量
11%
74-75°F
$5 交易量
9%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
2%
華氏78度或以上
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–71°F for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph behind Sunday’s frontal passage and associated rain. This onshore flow off cooler coastal waters, combined with increasing cloud cover and only limited afternoon clearing, caps daytime heating while keeping values close to seasonal normals. Slight variations in the timing of any partial sun or lingering moisture create the narrow spread between the leading 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside this range reflecting the tight clustering of guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,338結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–71°F for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph behind Sunday’s frontal passage and associated rain. This onshore flow off cooler coastal waters, combined with increasing cloud cover and only limited afternoon clearing, caps daytime heating while keeping values close to seasonal normals. Slight variations in the timing of any partial sun or lingering moisture create the narrow spread between the leading 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside this range reflecting the tight clustering of guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,338結束日期
2026-09-21市場開放時間
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a high near 68–71°F for New York City on September 21, driven by northerly to northeasterly winds of 10–15 mph behind Sunday’s frontal passage and associated rain. This onshore flow off cooler coastal waters, combined with increasing cloud cover and only limited afternoon clearing, caps daytime heating while keeping values close to seasonal normals. Slight variations in the timing of any partial sun or lingering moisture create the narrow spread between the leading 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outcomes outside this range reflecting the tight clustering of guidance. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions