Recent model consensus from sources like GFS and Météo-France points to a maximum of 16–17°C in Paris on October 17, driven by northerly winds advecting cooler maritime air under building high pressure. This follows a sharp cooldown from mid-October peaks near 23°C, with clear to partly cloudy skies limiting daytime heating and dew points falling into the single digits overnight. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, aligning with the climatological average high of 16.3°C while ruling out extremes below 14°C or above 18°C under current steering patterns. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak before resolution.