Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 16 project daytime highs of 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, directly underpinning the market's 100% implied probability on a 36°C peak. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-summer heat in the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity often push observed maxima toward the upper end of model guidance. Recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan further reinforce trader consensus around this threshold. The outcome could shift only if denser cloud cover or earlier precipitation develops and caps temperatures below expectations, though current observational trends and model runs make such a deviation unlikely before final daily readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月16日臺北氣溫最高？
8月16日臺北氣溫最高？
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$63,267 交易量
$63,267 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$63,267 交易量
$63,267 交易量
2026-08-16
29°C or below
$374 交易量
No
30°C
$1,004 交易量
No
31°C
$2,377 交易量
No
32°C
$5,750 交易量
No
33°C
$8,979 交易量
No
34°C
$10,045 交易量
No
35°C
$8,862 交易量
No
36°C
$5,952 交易量
Yes
37°C
$5,456 交易量
No
38°C
$6,065 交易量
No
39°C or higher
$8,404 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 16 project daytime highs of 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, directly underpinning the market's 100% implied probability on a 36°C peak. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-summer heat in the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity often push observed maxima toward the upper end of model guidance. Recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan further reinforce trader consensus around this threshold. The outcome could shift only if denser cloud cover or earlier precipitation develops and caps temperatures below expectations, though current observational trends and model runs make such a deviation unlikely before final daily readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$63,267結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 16 project daytime highs of 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, directly underpinning the market's 100% implied probability on a 36°C peak. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-summer heat in the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity often push observed maxima toward the upper end of model guidance. Recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan further reinforce trader consensus around this threshold. The outcome could shift only if denser cloud cover or earlier precipitation develops and caps temperatures below expectations, though current observational trends and model runs make such a deviation unlikely before final daily readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$63,267結束日期
2026-08-16市場開放時間
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Central Weather Administration forecasts for Taipei on August 16 project daytime highs of 34–36°C amid partly cloudy skies and afternoon thundershowers, directly underpinning the market's 100% implied probability on a 36°C peak. This aligns with seasonal norms for late-summer heat in the region, where urban heat-island effects and high humidity often push observed maxima toward the upper end of model guidance. Recent heat alerts across northern Taiwan further reinforce trader consensus around this threshold. The outcome could shift only if denser cloud cover or earlier precipitation develops and caps temperatures below expectations, though current observational trends and model runs make such a deviation unlikely before final daily readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions