**Forecast consensus from official sources like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international models points to a daily high near 29–30°C for Taipei on September 22, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and low precipitation risk.** This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where daytime maxima often reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid moderating monsoon influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures. Recent model runs show consistency across sources, with limited variability from cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. No active typhoons or fronts are expected to alter steering patterns or bring significant moisture to northern Taiwan tomorrow, reducing upside risk for extremes above 32°C. Trader emphasis on 31°C (50.5% implied probability) and 32°C (28%) likely reflects historical model warm biases or resolution criteria tied to the official station maximum, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below capture downside scenarios from increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, updates from the CWA and real-time observations will drive final adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月22日臺北氣溫最高?
31°C 50%
32°C 28%
30°C 10%
33°C 8%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
50%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
31°C 50%
32°C 28%
30°C 10%
33°C 8%
25°C或以下
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
10%
31°C
50%
32°C
28%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C或以上
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast consensus from official sources like Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) and international models points to a daily high near 29–30°C for Taipei on September 22, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with northeast winds of 5–10 mph and low precipitation risk.** This aligns with typical late-September subtropical conditions, where daytime maxima often reach the upper 20s to low 30s amid moderating monsoon influences and seasonal sea-surface temperatures. Recent model runs show consistency across sources, with limited variability from cloud cover or wind shifts that could suppress or enhance peak readings by 1–2°C. No active typhoons or fronts are expected to alter steering patterns or bring significant moisture to northern Taiwan tomorrow, reducing upside risk for extremes above 32°C. Trader emphasis on 31°C (50.5% implied probability) and 32°C (28%) likely reflects historical model warm biases or resolution criteria tied to the official station maximum, while lower probabilities for 30°C or below capture downside scenarios from increased cloudiness. With resolution imminent, updates from the CWA and real-time observations will drive final adjustments.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions