Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 30?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 30?
32°C 46%
31°C 40%
33°C 10%
30°C 3.6%
最新
$24,345 交易量
最新
$24,345 交易量
2026-06-30
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
40%
32°C
46%
33°C
10%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
31°C 40%
33°C 10%
30°C 3.6%
最新
$24,345 交易量
最新
$24,345 交易量
2026-06-30
29°C or below
$990 交易量
<1%
30°C
$866 交易量
4%
31°C
$7,104 交易量
40%
32°C
$9,782 交易量
46%
33°C
$2,185 交易量
10%
34°C
$351 交易量
1%
35°C
$1,071 交易量
<1%
36°C
$535 交易量
<1%
37°C
$488 交易量
<1%
38°C
$394 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$581 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$24,345結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24,345結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for coastal Tel Aviv on June 30 point to a maximum temperature in the 29–32°C range under stable high pressure, abundant sunshine, and moderate westerly sea breezes that limit afternoon heating. Model consensus clusters near 30°C, yet recent runs show modest spread from subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind timing, and any thin high cloud that could reduce insolation by 1–2°C. Traders therefore assign the highest implied probabilities to 32°C and 33°C, reflecting the possibility of slightly stronger offshore flow or warmer advection in the final model updates before resolution. Historical June climatology supports this tight distribution, with daily maxima rarely exceeding 33°C absent exceptional heat events.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions