Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日多倫多氣溫最高？
7月12日多倫多氣溫最高？
28°C 43%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
6%
27°C
27%
28°C
43%
29°C
20%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 43%
27°C 27%
29°C 20%
26°C 5.9%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
22°C or below
$1,381 交易量
<1%
23°C
$152 交易量
<1%
24°C
$254 交易量
1%
25°C
$215 交易量
3%
26°C
$281 交易量
6%
27°C
$312 交易量
27%
28°C
$152 交易量
43%
29°C
$288 交易量
20%
30°C
$180 交易量
2%
31°C
$138 交易量
1%
32°C or higher
$355 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
交易量
$3,529結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,529結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETRecent short-range model consensus from Environment Canada and other agencies points to a maximum temperature near 28°C in Toronto on July 12, driven by a mix of sun and cloud under a moderate westerly flow with dew points supporting efficient daytime heating but limited by possible scattered afternoon showers. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 27°C if cloud cover increases earlier and others reaching 29°C under clearer skies, aligning with the market’s heaviest volume on those three outcomes. Historical July climatology for the region centers around 27°C, providing context for why extremes below 25°C or above 30°C carry low implied probabilities absent a sharp pattern shift. Updated model runs and any new observational data on boundary-layer moisture or steering winds remain the key near-term catalysts for sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions