Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Wellington on June 30?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 30?
12°C 60%
11°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 2.1%
最新
$30,483 交易量
最新
$30,483 交易量
2026-06-30
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
23%
12°C
60%
13°C
18%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 60%
11°C 23%
13°C 18%
14°C 2.1%
最新
$30,483 交易量
最新
$30,483 交易量
2026-06-30
6°C or below
$1,800 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,247 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,582 交易量
<1%
9°C
$3,428 交易量
<1%
10°C
$2,565 交易量
1%
11°C
$3,077 交易量
23%
12°C
$5,958 交易量
60%
13°C
$3,965 交易量
18%
14°C
$2,300 交易量
2%
15°C
$3,059 交易量
1%
16°C or higher
$1,503 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$30,483結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$30,483結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent forecast guidance from agencies including MetService and NIWA points to a maximum of 11–12°C in Wellington on June 30, aligning with the market’s leading probabilities for those exact outcomes. Late June climatology shows typical daily highs near 12°C under near-average seasonal conditions, with no strong signals for significant deviation from the NIWA outlook. Short-range model runs emphasize southerly flows and possible cloud cover that cap daytime warming, while light winds and clearer intervals could allow brief rises toward 13°C. Traders appear to be weighting the most recent deterministic forecasts and historical analogs over longer-term variability, with resolution hinging on the official highest reading from the Kelburn station. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions