Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal cooling, which supports market-implied odds favoring a Shanghai minimum of 32°C or higher. Historical July baselines for the city average around 26–28°C overnight lows, but recent model runs highlight above-normal 850 hPa temperatures and weak southerly flow that reduce radiative heat loss. Key upcoming updates from 48–72 hour model cycles could shift probabilities if a frontal passage or increased moisture arrives earlier than projected. Trader consensus reflects this short-term stability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C near the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月24日上海最低溫度？
7月24日上海最低溫度？
32°C或以上 60%
27°C 33%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
22°C或以下
8%
23°C
9%
24°C
9%
25°C
17%
26°C
18%
27°C
33%
28°C
27%
29°C
17%
30°C
8%
31°C
4%
32°C或以上
60%
32°C或以上 60%
27°C 33%
28°C 27%
26°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-07-24
22°C或以下
$37 交易量
8%
23°C
$37 交易量
9%
24°C
$37 交易量
9%
25°C
$0 交易量
17%
26°C
$0 交易量
18%
27°C
$15 交易量
33%
28°C
$0 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
17%
30°C
$27 交易量
8%
31°C
$37 交易量
4%
32°C或以上
$37 交易量
60%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal cooling, which supports market-implied odds favoring a Shanghai minimum of 32°C or higher. Historical July baselines for the city average around 26–28°C overnight lows, but recent model runs highlight above-normal 850 hPa temperatures and weak southerly flow that reduce radiative heat loss. Key upcoming updates from 48–72 hour model cycles could shift probabilities if a frontal passage or increased moisture arrives earlier than projected. Trader consensus reflects this short-term stability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$226結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal cooling, which supports market-implied odds favoring a Shanghai minimum of 32°C or higher. Historical July baselines for the city average around 26–28°C overnight lows, but recent model runs highlight above-normal 850 hPa temperatures and weak southerly flow that reduce radiative heat loss. Key upcoming updates from 48–72 hour model cycles could shift probabilities if a frontal passage or increased moisture arrives earlier than projected. Trader consensus reflects this short-term stability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C near the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$226結束日期
2026-07-24市場開放時間
Jul 22, 2026, 12:30 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge over eastern China, suppressing cloud cover and limiting nocturnal cooling, which supports market-implied odds favoring a Shanghai minimum of 32°C or higher. Historical July baselines for the city average around 26–28°C overnight lows, but recent model runs highlight above-normal 850 hPa temperatures and weak southerly flow that reduce radiative heat loss. Key upcoming updates from 48–72 hour model cycles could shift probabilities if a frontal passage or increased moisture arrives earlier than projected. Trader consensus reflects this short-term stability while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty ranges of 1–2°C near the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於相關
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警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions