**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on June 30?
24°C 74%
25°C 17.0%
23°C 14%
26°C 5.0%
最新
$12,007 交易量
最新
$12,007 交易量
2026-06-30
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
9%
24°C
74%
25°C
17%
26°C
5%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 74%
25°C 17.0%
23°C 14%
26°C 5.0%
最新
$12,007 交易量
最新
$12,007 交易量
2026-06-30
19°C or below
$415 交易量
<1%
20°C
$238 交易量
<1%
21°C
$318 交易量
1%
22°C
$1,556 交易量
2%
23°C
$1,076 交易量
9%
24°C
$3,855 交易量
74%
25°C
$2,354 交易量
17%
26°C
$707 交易量
5%
27°C
$158 交易量
<1%
28°C
$685 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$645 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,007結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C.
Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,007結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Jun 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate overnight lows near 25°C on June 30, aligning with the market's leading outcomes clustered around 23–25°C.** Late-June climatology places average minimum temperatures at 23–24°C as the East Asian monsoon transitions and daytime heating builds, with high humidity and frequent cloud cover limiting nocturnal cooling. Official guidance from sources such as AccuWeather shows projected lows of 25–26°C amid ongoing light rain or overcast conditions typical of the tail end of the plum-rain season, while broader June averages hover around 24°C. Model consensus and historical analogs support this range, with only modest day-to-day variability expected before resolution. Clearer skies or stronger southerly flow could push the minimum toward 26–27°C, whereas persistent rain and a brief cool surge might allow 22–23°C. The tight clustering of probabilities around the 23–25°C band reflects traders incorporating these ensemble outputs and the low likelihood of extremes given current atmospheric conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions