Recent forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate Tel Aviv's overnight minimum on October 16 will likely fall between 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and modest humidity near 70%. These conditions limit radiational cooling while the moderating influence of the Mediterranean Sea and stable high pressure reduce the chance of sharp drops below 18°C. Light showers possible in the morning may further suppress the low by retaining heat overnight. Trader consensus on the 15°C-or-below and 25°C-or-higher bins at 41.5% each reflects lingering model spread in exact timing of cloud cover and wind shifts, with resolution hinging on the final observational minimum reported by local stations. Updated model guidance expected later today could narrow the range.