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icon for 麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？

麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？

icon for 麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？

麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？

8月 31

12月 31

8月 31

12月 31

最新
2026-08-31
Polymarket

$1,043 交易量

Polymarket

2400+

$512 交易量

99%

2450+

$125 交易量

94%

2500+

$306 交易量

86%

2550+

$69 交易量

74%

2600+

$30 交易量

55%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in under-vaccinated communities continues to drive elevated case counts, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed U.S. cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Nearly all cases link to outbreaks, with 37 new outbreaks identified this year and 94% of infections outbreak-associated. Low MMR vaccination coverage in specific populations sustains chains of transmission, as measles spreads rapidly via airborne routes with a basic reproduction number often exceeding 12 in susceptible groups. Weekly CDC surveillance updates through August will provide the latest confirmed counts and any new outbreak declarations, directly informing whether totals accelerate or plateau before the August 31 resolution window. Historical patterns show summer travel and school breaks can further influence spread.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,043
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.Ongoing measles transmission in under-vaccinated communities continues to drive elevated case counts, with the CDC reporting 2,371 confirmed U.S. cases through July 30, 2026—already exceeding the full-year 2025 total of 2,289. Nearly all cases link to outbreaks, with 37 new outbreaks identified this year and 94% of infections outbreak-associated. Low MMR vaccination coverage in specific populations sustains chains of transmission, as measles spreads rapidly via airborne routes with a basic reproduction number often exceeding 12 in susceptible groups. Weekly CDC surveillance updates through August will provide the latest confirmed counts and any new outbreak declarations, directly informing whether totals accelerate or plateau before the August 31 resolution window. Historical patterns show summer travel and school breaks can further influence spread.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
交易量
$1,043
結束日期
2026-08-31
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 10:25 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used. Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.

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警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2400+" at 99%, followed by "2450+" at 94%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 99¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？" is "2400+" at 99%, meaning the market assigns a 99% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2450+" at 94%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "麻疹病例是否在8月31日之前在美國發生？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.