The withdrawal of former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan as an independent candidate in late May 2026 has narrowed the field and boosted Democratic frontrunner Jocelyn Benson, Michigan’s secretary of state, who leads her party’s August 4 primary by wide margins. Recent general-election polling shows Benson ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James and other GOP contenders in head-to-head matchups. With incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer term-limited, the open-seat contest remains competitive on paper and is rated a toss-up by some forecasters, yet trader pricing reflects Benson’s strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and the absence of a viable third option to split the vote. Primary filing deadlines and the November 3 general election timeline continue to shape positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於民主黨 83%
共和黨 14%
無黨籍 2.7%
$184,863 交易量
$184,863 交易量

民主黨
83%

共和黨
14%

無黨籍
3%
民主黨 83%
共和黨 14%
無黨籍 2.7%
$184,863 交易量
$184,863 交易量

民主黨
83%

共和黨
14%

無黨籍
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The withdrawal of former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan as an independent candidate in late May 2026 has narrowed the field and boosted Democratic frontrunner Jocelyn Benson, Michigan’s secretary of state, who leads her party’s August 4 primary by wide margins. Recent general-election polling shows Benson ahead of Republican U.S. Rep. John James and other GOP contenders in head-to-head matchups. With incumbent Democrat Gretchen Whitmer term-limited, the open-seat contest remains competitive on paper and is rated a toss-up by some forecasters, yet trader pricing reflects Benson’s strong name recognition, fundraising edge, and the absence of a viable third option to split the vote. Primary filing deadlines and the November 3 general election timeline continue to shape positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions