Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus. Recent polls, including the University of New Hampshire survey released August 27 and Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August, show Ayotte ahead of presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by margins of 11 points or more among likely voters, with her lead expanding and job approval rising since June. The Republican primary on September 8 features limited opposition to Ayotte, while the Democratic side lacks strong challengers. New Hampshire's Republican trifecta and historical patterns of incumbent re-election further support current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,620 交易量
$16,620 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
84%
民主黨
16%
$16,620 交易量
$16,620 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$7,617 交易量
84%
民主黨
$9,002 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus. Recent polls, including the University of New Hampshire survey released August 27 and Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August, show Ayotte ahead of presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by margins of 11 points or more among likely voters, with her lead expanding and job approval rising since June. The Republican primary on September 8 features limited opposition to Ayotte, while the Democratic side lacks strong challengers. New Hampshire's Republican trifecta and historical patterns of incumbent re-election further support current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
交易量
$16,620結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus. Recent polls, including the University of New Hampshire survey released August 27 and Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August, show Ayotte ahead of presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by margins of 11 points or more among likely voters, with her lead expanding and job approval rising since June. The Republican primary on September 8 features limited opposition to Ayotte, while the Democratic side lacks strong challengers. New Hampshire's Republican trifecta and historical patterns of incumbent re-election further support current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,620結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETIncumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a clear edge in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus. Recent polls, including the University of New Hampshire survey released August 27 and Saint Anselm College polling from mid-August, show Ayotte ahead of presumptive Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by margins of 11 points or more among likely voters, with her lead expanding and job approval rising since June. The Republican primary on September 8 features limited opposition to Ayotte, while the Democratic side lacks strong challengers. New Hampshire's Republican trifecta and historical patterns of incumbent re-election further support current market positioning ahead of the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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