Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於博拉·蒂努布 63%
彼得·奧比 38%
拉比烏·克萬克瓦索 1.3%
歐莫耶萊·索沃雷 <1%
$56,031 交易量
$56,031 交易量
2027-01-16
博拉·蒂努布
63%
彼得·奧比
38%
拉比烏·克萬克瓦索
1%
歐莫耶萊·索沃雷
<1%
羅蒂米·阿梅奇
<1%
博拉·蒂努布 63%
彼得·奧比 38%
拉比烏·克萬克瓦索 1.3%
歐莫耶萊·索沃雷 <1%
$56,031 交易量
$56,031 交易量
2027-01-16
博拉·蒂努布
$29,727 交易量
63%
彼得·奧比
$14,486 交易量
38%
拉比烏·克萬克瓦索
$3,241 交易量
1%
歐莫耶萊·索沃雷
$4,884 交易量
<1%
羅蒂米·阿梅奇
$3,694 交易量
<1%
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
交易量
$56,031結束日期
2027-01-16市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
交易量
$56,031結束日期
2027-01-16市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Bola Tinubu’s strong positioning at roughly 70% in trader consensus stems from his recent confirmation as the All Progressives Congress flagbearer through a direct primary, combined with incumbency advantages and established party structures ahead of the January 2027 vote. Opposition fragmentation has reinforced this outlook, as attempts at a unified coalition collapsed in May 2026 when Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso departed amid internal disputes, leaving Peter Obi at about 25% on the Nigeria Democratic Congress ticket and other figures such as Atiku Abubakar and Rotimi Amaechi with minimal implied probabilities. Low presidential approval ratings near 30% reflect economic pressures from prior reforms, yet market pricing continues to weigh structural factors like regional strongholds and campaign machinery more heavily than polling sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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