Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, enters the August 4-11 window with trader prices clustered tightly between 41% and 43% across most post-count ranges from 20 upward. This reflects limited visibility into his typical weekly social media cadence as a relatively new incumbent navigating routine governance, policy rollouts, and potential summer news developments. Recent late-July actions on housing trackers and labor contracts have not yet clarified patterns, while the absence of major scheduled events or crises leaves volume dependent on breaking developments. A surge in city-specific stories or official announcements could push activity higher and separate the higher buckets, whereas a quieter period would favor mid-range outcomes. The low price on under-20 posts underscores consensus against minimal engagement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於NYC Mayor # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
100-119 83%
120-139 83%
140-159 83%
160-179 83%
<20
2%
20-39
47%
40-59
43%
60-79
42%
80-99
42%
100-119
83%
120-139
83%
140-159
83%
160-179
83%
180-199
83%
200+
83%
100-119 83%
120-139 83%
140-159 83%
160-179 83%
<20
2%
20-39
47%
40-59
43%
60-79
42%
80-99
42%
100-119
83%
120-139
83%
140-159
83%
160-179
83%
180-199
83%
200+
83%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zohran Mamdani, New York City's mayor since January 2026, enters the August 4-11 window with trader prices clustered tightly between 41% and 43% across most post-count ranges from 20 upward. This reflects limited visibility into his typical weekly social media cadence as a relatively new incumbent navigating routine governance, policy rollouts, and potential summer news developments. Recent late-July actions on housing trackers and labor contracts have not yet clarified patterns, while the absence of major scheduled events or crises leaves volume dependent on breaking developments. A surge in city-specific stories or official announcements could push activity higher and separate the higher buckets, whereas a quieter period would favor mid-range outcomes. The low price on under-20 posts underscores consensus against minimal engagement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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