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icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

icon for 2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名

最新
2027-01-21
Polymarket

$2,667 交易量

Polymarket

Project Hail Mary

$175 交易量

82%

The Odyssey

$1,098 交易量

81%

Wild Horse Nine

$35 交易量

73%

Dune: Part Three

$55 交易量

75%

Fjord

$35 交易量

70%

All of a Sudden

$50 交易量

55%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$114 交易量

37%

Disclosure Day

$914 交易量

18%

Avengers: Doomsday

$0 交易量

15%

Michael

$0 交易量

15%

The Social Reckoning

$13 交易量

43%

Digger

$85 交易量

45%

Fatherland

$32 交易量

49%

The Drama

$62 交易量

46%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger lead early 2027 Best Picture nomination consensus, fueled by their directors’ track records, major studio backing from Universal and Warner Bros., and high-profile casts including potential star vehicles. Ambitious adaptations such as Project Hail Mary benefit from similar infrastructure and broad audience appeal, while Neon’s Fjord and Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine gained post-Cannes visibility among international and auteur-driven entries. Dune: Part Three draws on franchise momentum and Denis Villeneuve’s pedigree. With most contenders still unreleased or in post-production as of mid-2026, fall festival premieres and critical reception will shape the field ahead of guild awards and January nominations; historical patterns favor films with established directors and wide-release strategies over pure critical darlings.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,667
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s Digger lead early 2027 Best Picture nomination consensus, fueled by their directors’ track records, major studio backing from Universal and Warner Bros., and high-profile casts including potential star vehicles. Ambitious adaptations such as Project Hail Mary benefit from similar infrastructure and broad audience appeal, while Neon’s Fjord and Martin McDonagh’s Wild Horse Nine gained post-Cannes visibility among international and auteur-driven entries. Dune: Part Three draws on franchise momentum and Denis Villeneuve’s pedigree. With most contenders still unreleased or in post-production as of mid-2026, fall festival premieres and critical reception will shape the field ahead of guild awards and January nominations; historical patterns favor films with established directors and wide-release strategies over pure critical darlings.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,667
結束日期
2027-01-21
市場開放時間
May 27, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Project Hail Mary" at 82%, followed by "The Odyssey" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 82¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" is "Project Hail Mary" at 82%, meaning the market assigns a 82% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "The Odyssey" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027年奧斯卡:最佳影片提名" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.