The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哪部電影將在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎中獲得最多奧斯卡提名?
奧德賽 38%
沙丘:救世主 30%
野馬九號 8.3%
社會清算 6.9%
$21,645 交易量
$21,645 交易量
奧德賽
33%
沙丘:救世主
30%
野馬九號
8%
社會清算
7%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
7%
揭露日
6%
咆哮山莊
1%
新娘!
<1%
奧德賽 38%
沙丘:救世主 30%
野馬九號 8.3%
社會清算 6.9%
$21,645 交易量
$21,645 交易量
奧德賽
33%
沙丘:救世主
30%
野馬九號
8%
社會清算
7%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
7%
揭露日
6%
咆哮山莊
1%
新娘!
<1%
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Odyssey holds the strongest trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability, driven by Christopher Nolan’s proven awards track record with Oppenheimer, its July 2026 release positioning it for early campaign momentum, and expected dominance in technical categories like production design, cinematography, and visual effects. Dune: Messiah follows at 32.5% on the strength of the franchise’s prior critical and guild acclaim, with its December release setting up a late-year awards surge in similar tech fields. The Social Reckoning and Wild Horse Nine trail as viable contenders amid a crowded 2026 slate, while lower-probability titles like Project Hail Mary face steeper barriers without established precursor buzz. Key upcoming catalysts include summer festival premieres, trailer reactions, and guild nominations that could shift momentum before voting begins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions