Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for the most 99th Academy Awards nominations at 52% implied probability, driven by raving early reactions to its IMAX prologue footage and Tom Holland's breakout performance generating Best Actor buzz, building on Nolan's Oppenheimer-era technical sweep momentum. Dune: Messiah follows at 21%, leveraging Denis Villeneuve's franchise track record for craft categories after Dune: Part Two's strong showing. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (9%) and Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary (8.4%) gain from prestige casts and recent test screening acclaim highlighting Gosling's awards-worthy turn. As 2026 releases roll out and fall festivals like Venice and Telluride approach, guild nominations and critics' prizes will test this skin-in-the-game positioning amid inherent Oscar unpredictability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於哪部電影將在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎中獲得最多奧斯卡提名?
哪部電影將在第99屆奧斯卡金像獎中獲得最多奧斯卡提名?
奧德賽 52%
沙丘:救世主 21%
揭露日 9%
哈囉瑪莉計劃 8.3%
$17,347 交易量
$17,347 交易量
奧德賽
52%
沙丘:救世主
21%
揭露日
9%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
8%
咆哮山莊
7%
新娘!
1%
社會清算
1%
野馬九號
<1%
奧德賽 52%
沙丘:救世主 21%
揭露日 9%
哈囉瑪莉計劃 8.3%
$17,347 交易量
$17,347 交易量
奧德賽
52%
沙丘:救世主
21%
揭露日
9%
哈囉瑪莉計劃
8%
咆哮山莊
7%
新娘!
1%
社會清算
1%
野馬九號
<1%
This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Feb 2, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the film which is nominated for the greatest number of Oscars at the 99th Academy Awards, currently expected to take place in March of 2027. A film will be considered to be nominated for an award if it or members of its crew, cast, or production are nominated for an award for work related to that film.
In the event of a tie for the greatest number of nominations, this market will resolve in favor of the film whose title comes first in alphabetical order.
If for any reason no nominations are announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus positions Christopher Nolan's The Odyssey as the clear frontrunner for the most 99th Academy Awards nominations at 52% implied probability, driven by raving early reactions to its IMAX prologue footage and Tom Holland's breakout performance generating Best Actor buzz, building on Nolan's Oppenheimer-era technical sweep momentum. Dune: Messiah follows at 21%, leveraging Denis Villeneuve's franchise track record for craft categories after Dune: Part Two's strong showing. Steven Spielberg's Disclosure Day (9%) and Ryan Gosling-led Project Hail Mary (8.4%) gain from prestige casts and recent test screening acclaim highlighting Gosling's awards-worthy turn. As 2026 releases roll out and fall festivals like Venice and Telluride approach, guild nominations and critics' prizes will test this skin-in-the-game positioning amid inherent Oscar unpredictability.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions