Mark Sutcliffe's position as incumbent mayor seeking a second term anchors trader consensus at 71.5 percent, reflecting his established name recognition and early confirmation of candidacy ahead of the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Recent filings by challengers Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo, and Alex Lawson on the first day nominations opened in May have introduced competition, with Leiper unveiling initial platform elements focused on transit improvements, housing supply, and public safety. April polling data highlighted Sutcliffe's low approval ratings on issues such as transit and affordability, narrowing his lead among decided voters, yet market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency in Canadian municipal races. Leiper's 20.5 percent share captures his profile as a sitting city councillor, while the remaining candidates trail due to lower visibility at this early stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬克·薩克利夫 72%
Jeff Leiper 21%
尼爾·薩拉瓦納穆圖 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,965 交易量
$12,965 交易量

馬克·薩克利夫
72%

Jeff Leiper
21%

尼爾·薩拉瓦納穆圖
2%

Alex Lawson
1%

凱瑟琳·麥肯尼
<1%
馬克·薩克利夫 72%
Jeff Leiper 21%
尼爾·薩拉瓦納穆圖 1.9%
Alex Lawson <1%
$12,965 交易量
$12,965 交易量

馬克·薩克利夫
72%

Jeff Leiper
21%

尼爾·薩拉瓦納穆圖
2%

Alex Lawson
1%

凱瑟琳·麥肯尼
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
市場開放時間: Apr 2, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Mark Sutcliffe's position as incumbent mayor seeking a second term anchors trader consensus at 71.5 percent, reflecting his established name recognition and early confirmation of candidacy ahead of the October 26, 2026, municipal election. Recent filings by challengers Jeff Leiper, Neil Saravanamuttoo, and Alex Lawson on the first day nominations opened in May have introduced competition, with Leiper unveiling initial platform elements focused on transit improvements, housing supply, and public safety. April polling data highlighted Sutcliffe's low approval ratings on issues such as transit and affordability, narrowing his lead among decided voters, yet market pricing incorporates the structural advantages of incumbency in Canadian municipal races. Leiper's 20.5 percent share captures his profile as a sitting city councillor, while the remaining candidates trail due to lower visibility at this early stage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions