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運動·足球

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

icon for Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager
運動·足球

Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager

Marco Silva 99.6%

Cesc Fabregas <1%

Filipe Luis <1%

Zinedine Zidane <1%

Polymarket

$11,242 交易量

Marco Silva 99.6%

Cesc Fabregas <1%

Filipe Luis <1%

Zinedine Zidane <1%

Polymarket

$11,242 交易量

Marco Silva

$1,695 交易量

100%

Cesc Fabregas

$1,122 交易量

<1%

Filipe Luis

$686 交易量

<1%

Zinedine Zidane

$1,323 交易量

<1%

Ruben Amorim

$691 交易量

<1%

Xavi Hernandez

$695 交易量

<1%

Angel Di Maria

$833 交易量

<1%

Antonio Conte

$466 交易量

<1%

Thomas Frank

$540 交易量

<1%

Mauricio Pochettino

$817 交易量

<1%

Maurizio Sarri

$362 交易量

<1%

Pep Guardiola

$642 交易量

<1%

Oliver Glasner

$360 交易量

<1%

Andoni Iraola

$597 交易量

<1%

Carlo Ancelotti

$412 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's near-certain position at 99.5% implied probability stems from Benfica's official confirmation that he will replace José Mourinho, who agreed terms to join Real Madrid after the Portuguese club triggered his release clause. Recent developments include a verbal agreement and contract details running to June 2028 with an extension option, negotiated amid Silva's Fulham contract expiry and preference to return to the Primeira Liga following successful Premier League spells. Trader consensus reflects the swift resolution of the vacancy, Benfica's focus on a proven Portuguese coach familiar with domestic demands, and the collapse of alternatives like Ruben Amorim due to rivalry complications. Only an unexpected breakdown in final paperwork or a late withdrawal could realistically shift the outcome before the new season.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$11,242
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Marco Silva's near-certain position at 99.5% implied probability stems from Benfica's official confirmation that he will replace José Mourinho, who agreed terms to join Real Madrid after the Portuguese club triggered his release clause. Recent developments include a verbal agreement and contract details running to June 2028 with an extension option, negotiated amid Silva's Fulham contract expiry and preference to return to the Primeira Liga following successful Premier League spells. Trader consensus reflects the swift resolution of the vacancy, Benfica's focus on a proven Portuguese coach familiar with domestic demands, and the collapse of alternatives like Ruben Amorim due to rivalry complications. Only an unexpected breakdown in final paperwork or a late withdrawal could realistically shift the outcome before the new season.

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica.

If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$11,242
結束日期
2026-09-01
市場開放時間
May 28, 2026, 7:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent manager of SL Benfica. If no permanent manager is appointed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SL Benfica; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marco Silva" at 100%, followed by "Cesc Fabregas" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" has generated $11.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" is "Marco Silva" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Cesc Fabregas" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Primeira Liga: Next Benfica Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.