Recent Supreme Court signals in Trump v. Slaughter have strengthened trader expectations that the justices will expand presidential removal authority over FTC commissioners. The Court's conservative majority has shown willingness in prior terms to revisit limits on executive power established in older precedents, and the current administration's direct challenge aligns with that trajectory. Official briefs filed this month emphasize constitutional arguments for at-will removal, while scheduled oral arguments in the coming weeks could lock in the outcome before the term ends. This sequence of procedural steps and institutional leanings accounts for the 73.9 percent implied probability on Yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$21,423 交易量
$21,423 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$21,423 交易量
$21,423 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Supreme Court signals in Trump v. Slaughter have strengthened trader expectations that the justices will expand presidential removal authority over FTC commissioners. The Court's conservative majority has shown willingness in prior terms to revisit limits on executive power established in older precedents, and the current administration's direct challenge aligns with that trajectory. Official briefs filed this month emphasize constitutional arguments for at-will removal, while scheduled oral arguments in the coming weeks could lock in the outcome before the term ends. This sequence of procedural steps and institutional leanings accounts for the 73.9 percent implied probability on Yes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ET
交易量
$21,423結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent Supreme Court signals in Trump v. Slaughter have strengthened trader expectations that the justices will expand presidential removal authority over FTC commissioners. The Court's conservative majority has shown willingness in prior terms to revisit limits on executive power established in older precedents, and the current administration's direct challenge aligns with that trajectory. Official briefs filed this month emphasize constitutional arguments for at-will removal, while scheduled oral arguments in the coming weeks could lock in the outcome before the term ends. This sequence of procedural steps and institutional leanings accounts for the 73.9 percent implied probability on Yes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court, in Trump v. Slaughter, rules to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The Supreme Court will be considered to overturn Humphrey's Executor v. United States if they issue a decision in Trump v. Slaughter overruling or substantially limiting Humphrey's Executor v. United States (1935), including ruling that the President may remove FTC commissioners at will.
If the Supreme court ruling in Trump v. Slaughter affirms that for-cause removal protections for FTC commissioners remain constitutional or if the case is dismissed, settled, or otherwise disposed of without a merits decision within this market’s timeframe, the market will resolve to “No”. If no Supreme Court ruling on the merits of Trump v. Slaughter is issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$21,423結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 20, 2026, 10:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Supreme Court signals in Trump v. Slaughter have strengthened trader expectations that the justices will expand presidential removal authority over FTC commissioners. The Court's conservative majority has shown willingness in prior terms to revisit limits on executive power established in older precedents, and the current administration's direct challenge aligns with that trajectory. Official briefs filed this month emphasize constitutional arguments for at-will removal, while scheduled oral arguments in the coming weeks could lock in the outcome before the term ends. This sequence of procedural steps and institutional leanings accounts for the 73.9 percent implied probability on Yes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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