The South Carolina Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews remains closely contested due to the July 2026 death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham, which triggered a compressed special primary process and placed his sister on the November ballot as the GOP nominee. Recent surveys, including InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen Reports, show Graham holding narrow leads of 2–5 points or less, reflecting the open-seat dynamics in a state with a strong Republican lean but limited time for the new candidate to consolidate support. Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary decisively, has drawn backing from suburban and independent voters while capitalizing on the transition uncertainty. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins for Graham aligns with these polling trends and historical patterns for special-election follow-ups, though factors such as turnout among core Republican blocs, any late campaign spending shifts, or national midterm conditions could widen or close the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於格雷厄姆 0-5% 34%
Graham 5-10% 21%
安德魯斯勝出 18%
葛蘭姆 10-15% 16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
格雷厄姆30%以上
1%
葛蘭姆 25-30%
1%
Graham 20-25%
4%
Graham 15-20%
7%
葛蘭姆 10-15%
16%
Graham 5-10%
21%
格雷厄姆 0-5%
34%
安德魯斯勝出
18%
格雷厄姆 0-5% 34%
Graham 5-10% 21%
安德魯斯勝出 18%
葛蘭姆 10-15% 16%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
格雷厄姆30%以上
$978 交易量
1%
葛蘭姆 25-30%
$364 交易量
1%
Graham 20-25%
$191 交易量
4%
Graham 15-20%
$219 交易量
7%
葛蘭姆 10-15%
$248 交易量
16%
Graham 5-10%
$258 交易量
21%
格雷厄姆 0-5%
$525 交易量
34%
安德魯斯勝出
$465 交易量
18%
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The South Carolina Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews remains closely contested due to the July 2026 death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham, which triggered a compressed special primary process and placed his sister on the November ballot as the GOP nominee. Recent surveys, including InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen Reports, show Graham holding narrow leads of 2–5 points or less, reflecting the open-seat dynamics in a state with a strong Republican lean but limited time for the new candidate to consolidate support. Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary decisively, has drawn backing from suburban and independent voters while capitalizing on the transition uncertainty. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins for Graham aligns with these polling trends and historical patterns for special-election follow-ups, though factors such as turnout among core Republican blocs, any late campaign spending shifts, or national midterm conditions could widen or close the gap before Election Day.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
交易量
$3,248結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETThe 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The South Carolina Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews remains closely contested due to the July 2026 death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham, which triggered a compressed special primary process and placed his sister on the November ballot as the GOP nominee. Recent surveys, including InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen Reports, show Graham holding narrow leads of 2–5 points or less, reflecting the open-seat dynamics in a state with a strong Republican lean but limited time for the new candidate to consolidate support. Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary decisively, has drawn backing from suburban and independent voters while capitalizing on the transition uncertainty. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins for Graham aligns with these polling trends and historical patterns for special-election follow-ups, though factors such as turnout among core Republican blocs, any late campaign spending shifts, or national midterm conditions could widen or close the gap before Election Day.
The 2026 South Carolina Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 South Carolina Senate election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,248結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 2:39 PM ETThe South Carolina Senate contest between Republican Darline Graham and Democrat Annie Andrews remains closely contested due to the July 2026 death of longtime incumbent Lindsey Graham, which triggered a compressed special primary process and placed his sister on the November ballot as the GOP nominee. Recent surveys, including InsiderAdvantage and Rasmussen Reports, show Graham holding narrow leads of 2–5 points or less, reflecting the open-seat dynamics in a state with a strong Republican lean but limited time for the new candidate to consolidate support. Andrews, a pediatrician who won her primary decisively, has drawn backing from suburban and independent voters while capitalizing on the transition uncertainty. Trader pricing on narrow victory margins for Graham aligns with these polling trends and historical patterns for special-election follow-ups, though factors such as turnout among core Republican blocs, any late campaign spending shifts, or national midterm conditions could widen or close the gap before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions