SpaceX’s post-IPO share price trajectory and first quarterly results dominate near-term market-cap expectations through September 2026. After debuting above $2 trillion in June, the stock retreated sharply following its August earnings beat, trading near $109 and implying a roughly $1.4 trillion capitalization amid concerns over AI-related spending and post-lockup supply. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports analyst projections of continued expansion, yet elevated multiples relative to current sales leave room for volatility. With the closely contested bins clustered around $1–2.25 trillion, traders are effectively pricing in the balance between near-term execution risks and the company’s capacity to sustain double-digit revenue increases before additional lockup releases or macroeconomic shifts alter sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$1.00T
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
47%
$1.75-$2.00T
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
47%
$2.25T+
48%
<$1.00T 48%
$1.00-$1.25T 48%
$1.25-$1.50T 48%
$1.75-$2.00T 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-30
<$1.00T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 交易量
48%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 交易量
47%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 交易量
48%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 交易量
47%
$2.25T+
$0 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-IPO share price trajectory and first quarterly results dominate near-term market-cap expectations through September 2026. After debuting above $2 trillion in June, the stock retreated sharply following its August earnings beat, trading near $109 and implying a roughly $1.4 trillion capitalization amid concerns over AI-related spending and post-lockup supply. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports analyst projections of continued expansion, yet elevated multiples relative to current sales leave room for volatility. With the closely contested bins clustered around $1–2.25 trillion, traders are effectively pricing in the balance between near-term execution risks and the company’s capacity to sustain double-digit revenue increases before additional lockup releases or macroeconomic shifts alter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX’s post-IPO share price trajectory and first quarterly results dominate near-term market-cap expectations through September 2026. After debuting above $2 trillion in June, the stock retreated sharply following its August earnings beat, trading near $109 and implying a roughly $1.4 trillion capitalization amid concerns over AI-related spending and post-lockup supply. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports analyst projections of continued expansion, yet elevated multiples relative to current sales leave room for volatility. With the closely contested bins clustered around $1–2.25 trillion, traders are effectively pricing in the balance between near-term execution risks and the company’s capacity to sustain double-digit revenue increases before additional lockup releases or macroeconomic shifts alter sentiment.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX’s post-IPO share price trajectory and first quarterly results dominate near-term market-cap expectations through September 2026. After debuting above $2 trillion in June, the stock retreated sharply following its August earnings beat, trading near $109 and implying a roughly $1.4 trillion capitalization amid concerns over AI-related spending and post-lockup supply. Revenue growth from Starlink and launch cadence supports analyst projections of continued expansion, yet elevated multiples relative to current sales leave room for volatility. With the closely contested bins clustered around $1–2.25 trillion, traders are effectively pricing in the balance between near-term execution risks and the company’s capacity to sustain double-digit revenue increases before additional lockup releases or macroeconomic shifts alter sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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