SpaceX's post-IPO trading volatility and its first earnings report since the June 2026 debut—showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a net loss—represent the main drivers of trader sentiment for its end-August market capitalization. Shares have fluctuated sharply from the $135 IPO price, briefly pushing the valuation above $2.6 trillion before settling near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid concerns over high capital expenditures and execution risks in Starlink expansion, xAI integration, and Starship development. With all listed outcome ranges priced at 50%, the market reflects balanced uncertainty around near-term share-price momentum versus fundamental progress, as analysts weigh 15–20x sales multiples against projected 2026 revenue of roughly $35–43 billion. Key thresholds for resolution hinge on sustained trading volume and any incremental milestones before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於<$1.00T 50%
$1.00-$1.25T 50%
$1.25-$1.50T 50%
$1.50-$1.75T 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<$1.00T
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
50%
$1.25-$1.50T
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
50%
$1.75-$2.00T
50%
$2.00-$2.25T
50%
$2.25T+
50%
<$1.00T 50%
$1.00-$1.25T 50%
$1.25-$1.50T 50%
$1.50-$1.75T 50%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
<$1.00T
$0 交易量
50%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 交易量
50%
$1.25-$1.50T
$0 交易量
50%
$1.50-$1.75T
$0 交易量
50%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 交易量
50%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 交易量
50%
$2.25T+
$0 交易量
50%
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO trading volatility and its first earnings report since the June 2026 debut—showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a net loss—represent the main drivers of trader sentiment for its end-August market capitalization. Shares have fluctuated sharply from the $135 IPO price, briefly pushing the valuation above $2.6 trillion before settling near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid concerns over high capital expenditures and execution risks in Starlink expansion, xAI integration, and Starship development. With all listed outcome ranges priced at 50%, the market reflects balanced uncertainty around near-term share-price momentum versus fundamental progress, as analysts weigh 15–20x sales multiples against projected 2026 revenue of roughly $35–43 billion. Key thresholds for resolution hinge on sustained trading volume and any incremental milestones before month-end.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.SpaceX's post-IPO trading volatility and its first earnings report since the June 2026 debut—showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a net loss—represent the main drivers of trader sentiment for its end-August market capitalization. Shares have fluctuated sharply from the $135 IPO price, briefly pushing the valuation above $2.6 trillion before settling near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid concerns over high capital expenditures and execution risks in Starlink expansion, xAI integration, and Starship development. With all listed outcome ranges priced at 50%, the market reflects balanced uncertainty around near-term share-price momentum versus fundamental progress, as analysts weigh 15–20x sales multiples against projected 2026 revenue of roughly $35–43 billion. Key thresholds for resolution hinge on sustained trading volume and any incremental milestones before month-end.
This market will resolve according to Space Exploration Technologies' public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 8:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...SpaceX's post-IPO trading volatility and its first earnings report since the June 2026 debut—showing 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion alongside a net loss—represent the main drivers of trader sentiment for its end-August market capitalization. Shares have fluctuated sharply from the $135 IPO price, briefly pushing the valuation above $2.6 trillion before settling near $1.5–1.65 trillion amid concerns over high capital expenditures and execution risks in Starlink expansion, xAI integration, and Starship development. With all listed outcome ranges priced at 50%, the market reflects balanced uncertainty around near-term share-price momentum versus fundamental progress, as analysts weigh 15–20x sales multiples against projected 2026 revenue of roughly $35–43 billion. Key thresholds for resolution hinge on sustained trading volume and any incremental milestones before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions