Pedro Sánchez’s minority government has sustained legislative stability through coalition support from regional parties such as Junts and ERC, with no successful moción de censura or budget defeat forcing dissolution of the Cortes Generales. In late April 2026 the prime minister explicitly ruled out calling elecciones anticipadas, signaling his intent to complete the full term ahead of the scheduled general election no later than August 2027. Recent polling shows the PSOE holding or extending its lead in voting intentions, reducing any immediate incentive for an early contest despite ongoing opposition pressure from Alberto Núñez Feijóo and occasional speculation from figures like José María Aznar. Traders therefore assign a 76.5 percent implied probability to no snap election materializing by the end of 2026, consistent with Sánchez’s repeated pattern of weathering crises without dissolving parliament.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$19,258 交易量
$19,258 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$19,258 交易量
$19,258 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Sánchez’s minority government has sustained legislative stability through coalition support from regional parties such as Junts and ERC, with no successful moción de censura or budget defeat forcing dissolution of the Cortes Generales. In late April 2026 the prime minister explicitly ruled out calling elecciones anticipadas, signaling his intent to complete the full term ahead of the scheduled general election no later than August 2027. Recent polling shows the PSOE holding or extending its lead in voting intentions, reducing any immediate incentive for an early contest despite ongoing opposition pressure from Alberto Núñez Feijóo and occasional speculation from figures like José María Aznar. Traders therefore assign a 76.5 percent implied probability to no snap election materializing by the end of 2026, consistent with Sánchez’s repeated pattern of weathering crises without dissolving parliament.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ET
交易量
$19,258結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pedro Sánchez’s minority government has sustained legislative stability through coalition support from regional parties such as Junts and ERC, with no successful moción de censura or budget defeat forcing dissolution of the Cortes Generales. In late April 2026 the prime minister explicitly ruled out calling elecciones anticipadas, signaling his intent to complete the full term ahead of the scheduled general election no later than August 2027. Recent polling shows the PSOE holding or extending its lead in voting intentions, reducing any immediate incentive for an early contest despite ongoing opposition pressure from Alberto Núñez Feijóo and occasional speculation from figures like José María Aznar. Traders therefore assign a 76.5 percent implied probability to no snap election materializing by the end of 2026, consistent with Sánchez’s repeated pattern of weathering crises without dissolving parliament.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$19,258結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Mar 5, 2026, 5:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Pedro Sánchez’s minority government has sustained legislative stability through coalition support from regional parties such as Junts and ERC, with no successful moción de censura or budget defeat forcing dissolution of the Cortes Generales. In late April 2026 the prime minister explicitly ruled out calling elecciones anticipadas, signaling his intent to complete the full term ahead of the scheduled general election no later than August 2027. Recent polling shows the PSOE holding or extending its lead in voting intentions, reducing any immediate incentive for an early contest despite ongoing opposition pressure from Alberto Núñez Feijóo and occasional speculation from figures like José María Aznar. Traders therefore assign a 76.5 percent implied probability to no snap election materializing by the end of 2026, consistent with Sánchez’s repeated pattern of weathering crises without dissolving parliament.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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