Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 Q2 results on pace for 47% year-over-year gains and full-year EPS estimates near $340, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,800 by year-end 2026. AI-related capital spending and productivity gains have driven margin expansion to record levels near 16.7%, supporting analyst targets clustered around 7,800–8,000. Current levels near 7,748 reflect this momentum, though elevated Treasury yields, oil price volatility from Middle East tensions, and a divided FOMC introduce downside risks that cap the probability of sub-7,000 outcomes. Upcoming inflation and labor data will further shape rate expectations and implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於>8,000美元 35%
7,500-8,000美元 21%
7,000-7,500 18%
6,500-7,000美元 13%
$39,542 交易量
$39,542 交易量
2026-12-31
低於$6,000
6%
6,000-6,500美元
9%
6,500-7,000美元
13%
7,000-7,500
18%
7,500-8,000美元
21%
>8,000美元
39%
>8,000美元 35%
7,500-8,000美元 21%
7,000-7,500 18%
6,500-7,000美元 13%
$39,542 交易量
$39,542 交易量
2026-12-31
低於$6,000
$20,382 交易量
6%
6,000-6,500美元
$2,301 交易量
9%
6,500-7,000美元
$4,408 交易量
13%
7,000-7,500
$2,460 交易量
18%
7,500-8,000美元
$3,974 交易量
21%
>8,000美元
$6,018 交易量
39%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 Q2 results on pace for 47% year-over-year gains and full-year EPS estimates near $340, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,800 by year-end 2026. AI-related capital spending and productivity gains have driven margin expansion to record levels near 16.7%, supporting analyst targets clustered around 7,800–8,000. Current levels near 7,748 reflect this momentum, though elevated Treasury yields, oil price volatility from Middle East tensions, and a divided FOMC introduce downside risks that cap the probability of sub-7,000 outcomes. Upcoming inflation and labor data will further shape rate expectations and implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
交易量
$39,542結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Strong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 Q2 results on pace for 47% year-over-year gains and full-year EPS estimates near $340, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,800 by year-end 2026. AI-related capital spending and productivity gains have driven margin expansion to record levels near 16.7%, supporting analyst targets clustered around 7,800–8,000. Current levels near 7,748 reflect this momentum, though elevated Treasury yields, oil price volatility from Middle East tensions, and a divided FOMC introduce downside risks that cap the probability of sub-7,000 outcomes. Upcoming inflation and labor data will further shape rate expectations and implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$39,542結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, with S&P 500 Q2 results on pace for 47% year-over-year gains and full-year EPS estimates near $340, anchors trader sentiment for the index closing above 7,800 by year-end 2026. AI-related capital spending and productivity gains have driven margin expansion to record levels near 16.7%, supporting analyst targets clustered around 7,800–8,000. Current levels near 7,748 reflect this momentum, though elevated Treasury yields, oil price volatility from Middle East tensions, and a divided FOMC introduce downside risks that cap the probability of sub-7,000 outcomes. Upcoming inflation and labor data will further shape rate expectations and implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions