The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 assessment is priced at near-certainty of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting the central bank’s repeated signals that monetary conditions remain appropriate amid inflation still well inside the 0–2% price-stability band. Recent data show headline inflation rising to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy-price effects, yet core measures stay subdued near 0.4% while GDP growth has surprised to the upside; the June conditional forecast of 0.6% average inflation for 2026–27 continues to anchor expectations. Traders therefore see little pressure for a 25-basis-point move in either direction. Only an outsized inflation surprise or sharp, sustained Swiss-franc depreciation sufficient to lift imported prices would realistically reopen the possibility of an adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於維持不變 99.8%
上調25個基點 <1%
上調超過50個基點 <1%
下調25個基點 <1%
$15,686 交易量
$15,686 交易量
上調超過50個基點
<1%
上調25個基點
<1%
維持不變
100%
下調25個基點
<1%
下調50個基點以上
<1%
維持不變 99.8%
上調25個基點 <1%
上調超過50個基點 <1%
下調25個基點 <1%
$15,686 交易量
$15,686 交易量
上調超過50個基點
<1%
上調25個基點
<1%
維持不變
100%
下調25個基點
<1%
下調50個基點以上
<1%
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 10, 2026, 2:41 PM ET
The resolution source will be official information from the Swiss National Bank, including the statement or release from its September 2026 monetary policy assessment, scheduled for September 24, 2026, as listed on the official Swiss National Bank calendar (https://www.snb.ch/en/services-events/digital-services/event-schedule). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Swiss National Bank resulting from its September 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
The Swiss National Bank’s September 24 assessment is priced at near-certainty of no change to the 0% policy rate, reflecting the central bank’s repeated signals that monetary conditions remain appropriate amid inflation still well inside the 0–2% price-stability band. Recent data show headline inflation rising to 0.8% year-over-year in August from energy-price effects, yet core measures stay subdued near 0.4% while GDP growth has surprised to the upside; the June conditional forecast of 0.6% average inflation for 2026–27 continues to anchor expectations. Traders therefore see little pressure for a 25-basis-point move in either direction. Only an outsized inflation surprise or sharp, sustained Swiss-franc depreciation sufficient to lift imported prices would realistically reopen the possibility of an adjustment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions