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政治·收購

美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？

icon for 美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？
政治·收購

美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？

是

7% 機率
Polymarket

$10,915 交易量

是

7% 機率
Polymarket

$10,915 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.American Airlines publicly rejected United Airlines' merger overture in April 2026, with CEO Robert Isom citing competitive harms and confirming the carrier has no interest in discussions. United CEO Scott Kirby subsequently announced the pursuit had ended, describing any deal as off the table for the foreseeable future after American declined to engage. The proposal drew immediate antitrust scrutiny from lawmakers and the Trump administration, which signaled opposition amid concerns over reduced competition in an already consolidated industry. These developments, combined with historical regulatory barriers to large-scale airline combinations, underpin trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify.

An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,915
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.American Airlines publicly rejected United Airlines' merger overture in April 2026, with CEO Robert Isom citing competitive harms and confirming the carrier has no interest in discussions. United CEO Scott Kirby subsequently announced the pursuit had ended, describing any deal as off the table for the foreseeable future after American declined to engage. The proposal drew immediate antitrust scrutiny from lawmakers and the Trump administration, which signaled opposition amid concerns over reduced competition in an already consolidated industry. These developments, combined with historical regulatory barriers to large-scale airline combinations, underpin trader consensus that no announcement will occur this year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify.

An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$10,915
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "聯合航空與美國航空於2026年宣布合併/收購？" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？" is "聯合航空與美國航空於2026年宣布合併/收購？" at just 7%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "美聯航x美國航空在2026年宣布的合併/收購？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.