**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD band (73% probability) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current parallel-market level near 2.309 million IRR per USD, driven by sustained U.S. sanctions pressure under measures such as Operation Economic Outcast (August 2026), which expanded designations across aviation, shipping, technology, and related sectors. Earlier 2026 sanctions waivers tied to temporary diplomacy were revoked amid renewed tensions, limiting oil export recovery and foreign-currency inflows. The rial has faced ongoing depreciation amid high inflation, constrained crude sales (often below prior peaks), and limited Central Bank interventions in the free market. Narrower ranges above 2.5 million hold lower probabilities (combined under 17%), consistent with the absence of immediate major escalations or relief in the final days of September. Historical volatility and policy signals suggest the outcome hinges on any last-minute diplomatic or enforcement shifts before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於220萬至250萬 74%
250萬至280萬 12%
低於220萬 10%
280萬至310萬 2.5%
$32,074 交易量
$32,074 交易量
2026-09-30
低於220萬
10%
220萬至250萬
74%
250萬至280萬
12%
280萬至310萬
3%
310萬以上
1%
220萬至250萬 74%
250萬至280萬 12%
低於220萬 10%
280萬至310萬 2.5%
$32,074 交易量
$32,074 交易量
2026-09-30
低於220萬
$5,728 交易量
10%
220萬至250萬
$8,162 交易量
74%
250萬至280萬
$13,072 交易量
12%
280萬至310萬
$3,429 交易量
3%
310萬以上
$1,684 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD band (73% probability) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current parallel-market level near 2.309 million IRR per USD, driven by sustained U.S. sanctions pressure under measures such as Operation Economic Outcast (August 2026), which expanded designations across aviation, shipping, technology, and related sectors. Earlier 2026 sanctions waivers tied to temporary diplomacy were revoked amid renewed tensions, limiting oil export recovery and foreign-currency inflows.
The rial has faced ongoing depreciation amid high inflation, constrained crude sales (often below prior peaks), and limited Central Bank interventions in the free market. Narrower ranges above 2.5 million hold lower probabilities (combined under 17%), consistent with the absence of immediate major escalations or relief in the final days of September. Historical volatility and policy signals suggest the outcome hinges on any last-minute diplomatic or enforcement shifts before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
市場開放時間： Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
交易量
$32,074結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD band (73% probability) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current parallel-market level near 2.309 million IRR per USD, driven by sustained U.S. sanctions pressure under measures such as Operation Economic Outcast (August 2026), which expanded designations across aviation, shipping, technology, and related sectors. Earlier 2026 sanctions waivers tied to temporary diplomacy were revoked amid renewed tensions, limiting oil export recovery and foreign-currency inflows.
The rial has faced ongoing depreciation amid high inflation, constrained crude sales (often below prior peaks), and limited Central Bank interventions in the free market. Narrower ranges above 2.5 million hold lower probabilities (combined under 17%), consistent with the absence of immediate major escalations or relief in the final days of September. Historical volatility and policy signals suggest the outcome hinges on any last-minute diplomatic or enforcement shifts before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$32,074結束日期
2026-09-30市場開放時間
Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million IRR per USD band (73% probability) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current parallel-market level near 2.309 million IRR per USD, driven by sustained U.S. sanctions pressure under measures such as Operation Economic Outcast (August 2026), which expanded designations across aviation, shipping, technology, and related sectors. Earlier 2026 sanctions waivers tied to temporary diplomacy were revoked amid renewed tensions, limiting oil export recovery and foreign-currency inflows. The rial has faced ongoing depreciation amid high inflation, constrained crude sales (often below prior peaks), and limited Central Bank interventions in the free market. Narrower ranges above 2.5 million hold lower probabilities (combined under 17%), consistent with the absence of immediate major escalations or relief in the final days of September. Historical volatility and policy signals suggest the outcome hinges on any last-minute diplomatic or enforcement shifts before month-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions