Traders see a tight race in the VMA Best Direction market, with Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” each implied at 34.5% amid six nominees. Grande’s entry benefits from Christian Breslauer’s horror-tinged narrative and Janusz Kamiński’s cinematography, while Carpenter co-directed her clip with Margaret Qualley, emphasizing self-directed pop precision. Taylor Swift’s “Opalite,” Bruno Mars’s “I Just Might,” Gener8ion and Yung Lean’s “Storm,” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trail at 16.5–20.5%, reflecting strong but narrower appeal. The September 27 ceremony leaves little time for late momentum shifts, so trader consensus hinges on visual storytelling, production scale, and historical preference for auteur-driven videos over fan-voted categories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於VMA最佳方向2026
Hate That I Made You Love Me(Ariana Grande) 35%
House Tour(Sabrina Carpenter) 35%
Opalite(泰勒絲) 21%
I Just Might(Bruno Mars) 18%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(Ariana Grande)
35%
House Tour(Sabrina Carpenter)
35%
Opalite(泰勒絲)
21%
I Just Might(Bruno Mars)
18%
Storm(Gener8ion 與 Yung Lean 合作)
18%
Confessions II – The Film(瑪丹娜)
17%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(Ariana Grande) 35%
House Tour(Sabrina Carpenter) 35%
Opalite(泰勒絲) 21%
I Just Might(Bruno Mars) 18%
Hate That I Made You Love Me(Ariana Grande)
35%
House Tour(Sabrina Carpenter)
35%
Opalite(泰勒絲)
21%
I Just Might(Bruno Mars)
18%
Storm(Gener8ion 與 Yung Lean 合作)
18%
Confessions II – The Film(瑪丹娜)
17%
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Direction.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Direction when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Best Direction.
If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Best Direction when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders see a tight race in the VMA Best Direction market, with Ariana Grande’s “Hate That I Made You Love Me” and Sabrina Carpenter’s “House Tour” each implied at 34.5% amid six nominees. Grande’s entry benefits from Christian Breslauer’s horror-tinged narrative and Janusz Kamiński’s cinematography, while Carpenter co-directed her clip with Margaret Qualley, emphasizing self-directed pop precision. Taylor Swift’s “Opalite,” Bruno Mars’s “I Just Might,” Gener8ion and Yung Lean’s “Storm,” and Madonna’s “Confessions II – The Film” trail at 16.5–20.5%, reflecting strong but narrower appeal. The September 27 ceremony leaves little time for late momentum shifts, so trader consensus hinges on visual storytelling, production scale, and historical preference for auteur-driven videos over fan-voted categories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions