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icon for 2026年度VMA歌曲

2026年度VMA歌曲

icon for 2026年度VMA歌曲

2026年度VMA歌曲

Swim(BTS) 61%

Man I Need(Olivia Dean) 22%

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 21%

Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress) 12%

Polymarket
最新

Swim(BTS) 61%

Man I Need(Olivia Dean) 22%

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley) 21%

Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress) 12%

Polymarket
最新

Swim(BTS)

$20 交易量

61%

Man I Need(Olivia Dean)

$1 交易量

22%

Choosin' Texas(Ella Langley)

$184 交易量

21%

Stateside + Zara Larsson(PinkPantheress)

$1 交易量

12%

Where Is My Husband!(Raye)

$1 交易量

12%

Bring Your Love(瑪丹娜與薩布麗娜·卡本特)

$51 交易量

12%

Golden(Huntrix)

$1 交易量

6%

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s March 2026 comeback album *Arirang*, holds a clear edge in the Song of the Year market thanks to its sustained global streaming dominance, multiple chart-topping weeks outside the U.S., and the outsized influence of ARMY’s organized fan voting. The track’s additional Best K-Pop nomination and recent iHeartRadio Music Festival performance have reinforced momentum heading into the September 27 ceremony, where fan votes close on the 25th. The remaining nominees—Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntrix’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!”—trail significantly, reflecting narrower voter bases and less crossover appeal in a category historically swayed by organized fandoms rather than critical consensus or radio airplay.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.

If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$259
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.BTS’s “Swim,” the lead single from the group’s March 2026 comeback album *Arirang*, holds a clear edge in the Song of the Year market thanks to its sustained global streaming dominance, multiple chart-topping weeks outside the U.S., and the outsized influence of ARMY’s organized fan voting. The track’s additional Best K-Pop nomination and recent iHeartRadio Music Festival performance have reinforced momentum heading into the September 27 ceremony, where fan votes close on the 25th. The remaining nominees—Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas,” Huntrix’s “Golden,” Madonna and Sabrina Carpenter’s “Bring Your Love,” Olivia Dean’s “Man I Need,” PinkPantheress and Zara Larsson’s “Stateside,” and Raye’s “Where Is My Husband!”—trail significantly, reflecting narrower voter bases and less crossover appeal in a category historically swayed by organized fandoms rather than critical consensus or radio airplay.

The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year.

If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos. The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed song that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year. If a song was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Song of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated song whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTV Video Music Awards and MTV, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.mtv.com/vma) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$259
結束日期
2026-09-28
市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年度VMA歌曲" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Swim(BTS)" at 61%, followed by "Man I Need(Olivia Dean)" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 61¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026年度VMA歌曲" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026年度VMA歌曲," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年度VMA歌曲" is "Swim(BTS)" at 61%, meaning the market assigns a 61% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Man I Need(Olivia Dean)" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年度VMA歌曲" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.